Wells Fargo Advantage Fund Market Value
| EGRYX Fund | USD 15.63 0.03 0.19% |
| Symbol | Wells |
Wells Fargo 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Wells Fargo's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Wells Fargo.
| 03/26/2024 |
| 04/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Wells Fargo on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Wells Fargo Advantage or generate 0.0% return on investment in Wells Fargo over 30 days. Wells Fargo is related to or competes with Fidelity Advisor, HUMANA, Morningstar Unconstrained, High Yield, Thrivent High, Via Renewables, and T Rowe. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of the funds net assets in equity securities of small-c... More
Wells Fargo Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Wells Fargo's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Wells Fargo Advantage upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.79 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.72 |
Wells Fargo Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Wells Fargo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Wells Fargo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Wells Fargo historical prices to predict the future Wells Fargo's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.036 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.10) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0303 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wells Fargo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wells Fargo Advantage Backtested Returns
We consider Wells Fargo out of control. Wells Fargo Advantage shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0322, which attests that the fund had a 0.0322% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Wells Fargo Advantage, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check out Wells Fargo's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0403, downside deviation of 1.16, and Mean Deviation of 0.863 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0349%. The entity maintains a market beta of 1.48, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Wells Fargo will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | 0.48 |
Average predictability
Wells Fargo Advantage has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Wells Fargo time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Wells Fargo Advantage price movement. The serial correlation of 0.48 indicates that about 48.0% of current Wells Fargo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.48 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.05 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.08 |
Wells Fargo Advantage lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Wells Fargo mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Wells Fargo's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Wells Fargo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Wells Fargo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Wells Fargo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Wells Fargo mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Wells Fargo mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Wells Fargo mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Wells Fargo Lagged Returns
When evaluating Wells Fargo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Wells Fargo mutual fund have on its future price. Wells Fargo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Wells Fargo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Wells Fargo mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Wells Fargo Advantage.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Wells Fargo
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Wells Fargo position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Wells Fargo will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Wells Mutual Fund
| 0.66 | VMPAX | Wells Fargo Advantage | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | EMGNX | Wells Fargo Emerging | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | EMGCX | Wells Fargo Emerging | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | EMGAX | Wells Fargo Emerging | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Wells Fargo could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Wells Fargo when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Wells Fargo - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Wells Fargo Advantage to buy it.
The correlation of Wells Fargo is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Wells Fargo moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Wells Fargo Advantage moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Wells Fargo can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Wells Fargo Correlation, Wells Fargo Volatility and Wells Fargo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Wells Fargo. For more information on how to buy Wells Mutual Fund please use our How to Invest in Wells Fargo guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Wells Fargo technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.