EZCORP Stock Market Value

EZPW
 Stock
  

USD 10.17  0.11  1.09%   

EZCORP's market value is the price at which a share of EZCORP stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of EZCORP Inc investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of EZCORP Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in EZCORP over a given investment horizon. Continue to EZCORP Correlation, EZCORP Volatility and EZCORP Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on EZCORP.
Symbol


Is EZCORP's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EZCORP. If investors know EZCORP will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EZCORP listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
4.45
Market Capitalization
572.7 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.21
Return On Assets
0.0366
Return On Equity
0.0735
The market value of EZCORP Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EZCORP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EZCORP's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EZCORP's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EZCORP's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EZCORP's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EZCORP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine EZCORP value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EZCORP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

EZCORP 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to EZCORP's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of EZCORP.
0.00
11/05/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/05/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in EZCORP on November 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding EZCORP Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in EZCORP over 30 days. EZCORP is related to or competes with Arlington Asset, Arbor Realty, Associated Capital, AGNC Investment, Ashford, Great Ajax, and Affiliated Managers. EZCORP, Inc. provides pawn services in the United States and Latin America More

EZCORP Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure EZCORP's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess EZCORP Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

EZCORP Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for EZCORP's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as EZCORP's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use EZCORP historical prices to predict the future EZCORP's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of EZCORP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of EZCORP in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
8.3310.2412.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.8610.7712.68
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
8.5010.2512.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.430.430.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EZCORP. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EZCORP's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EZCORP's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in EZCORP Inc.

EZCORP Inc Backtested Returns

EZCORP appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. EZCORP Inc retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.16, which denotes the company had 0.16% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our outlook to predicting the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for EZCORP, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please utilize EZCORP's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2908, coefficient of variation of 789.49, and Downside Deviation of 1.74 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, EZCORP holds a performance score of 12. The firm owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.8429, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what EZCORP's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, EZCORP returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EZCORP will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is vital to follow EZCORP Inc existing price patterns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity price patterns. The way in which we are predicting future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By examining EZCORP Inc technical indicators, you can now evaluate if the expected return of 0.31% will be sustainable into the future. Please utilizes EZCORP Inc market risk adjusted performance, variance, as well as the relationship between the Variance and potential upside to make a quick decision on whether EZCORP Inc current price history will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.19  

Very weak predictability

EZCORP Inc has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between EZCORP time series from 5th of November 2022 to 20th of November 2022 and 20th of November 2022 to 5th of December 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of EZCORP Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current EZCORP price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.19
Spearman Rank Test0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

EZCORP Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is EZCORP stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting EZCORP's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of EZCORP returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that EZCORP stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

EZCORP regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If EZCORP stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if EZCORP stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in EZCORP stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

EZCORP Lagged Returns

When evaluating EZCORP's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of EZCORP stock have on its future price. EZCORP autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, EZCORP autocorrelation shows the relationship between EZCORP stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in EZCORP Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in EZCORP without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Price Transformation

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Pair Trading with EZCORP

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if EZCORP position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in EZCORP will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with EZCORP

+0.87BLKBlackRock Fiscal Year End 13th of January 2023 PairCorr
+0.62CCitigroup Fiscal Year End 13th of January 2023 PairCorr
+0.78CBSHCommerce Bancshares SplitPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to EZCORP could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace EZCORP when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back EZCORP - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling EZCORP Inc to buy it.
The correlation of EZCORP is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as EZCORP moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if EZCORP Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for EZCORP can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to EZCORP Correlation, EZCORP Volatility and EZCORP Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on EZCORP. You can also try Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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When running EZCORP Inc price analysis, check to measure EZCORP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EZCORP is operating at the current time. Most of EZCORP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EZCORP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EZCORP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EZCORP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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EZCORP technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of EZCORP technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of EZCORP trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...