Fa529 Eq Gr Fund Market Value

FEGDX Fund  USD 79.44  0.83  1.03%   
Fa529 Eq's market value is the price at which a share of Fa529 Eq trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fa529 Eq Gr investors about its performance. Fa529 Eq is trading at 79.44 as of the 18th of April 2024; that is -1.03 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 80.27.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fa529 Eq Gr and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fa529 Eq over a given investment horizon. Check out Fa529 Eq Correlation, Fa529 Eq Volatility and Fa529 Eq Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fa529 Eq.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fa529 Eq's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fa529 Eq is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fa529 Eq's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fa529 Eq 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fa529 Eq's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fa529 Eq.
0.00
10/21/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 29 days
04/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fa529 Eq on October 21, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fa529 Eq Gr or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fa529 Eq over 180 days. Fa529 Eq is related to or competes with Touchstone Ultra, 361 Domestic, Quantitative, Alpine Ultra, Delaware Investments, and Aqr Long. More

Fa529 Eq Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fa529 Eq's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fa529 Eq Gr upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fa529 Eq Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fa529 Eq's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fa529 Eq's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fa529 Eq historical prices to predict the future Fa529 Eq's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fa529 Eq's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.4479.4480.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
71.5085.5886.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.3478.3479.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
79.6581.8283.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fa529 Eq. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fa529 Eq's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fa529 Eq's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fa529 Eq Gr.

Fa529 Eq Gr Backtested Returns

We consider Fa529 Eq very steady. Fa529 Eq Gr retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which denotes the fund had a 0.12% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Fa529 Eq, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Fa529 Eq's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 3.55, standard deviation of 1.0, and Downside Deviation of 0.9619 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.12%. The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0311, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Fa529 Eq's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Fa529 Eq is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.91  

Excellent predictability

Fa529 Eq Gr has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fa529 Eq time series from 21st of October 2023 to 19th of January 2024 and 19th of January 2024 to 18th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fa529 Eq Gr price movement. The serial correlation of 0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current Fa529 Eq price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.91
Spearman Rank Test0.84
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.32

Fa529 Eq Gr lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fa529 Eq mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fa529 Eq's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fa529 Eq returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fa529 Eq has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Fa529 Eq regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fa529 Eq mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fa529 Eq mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fa529 Eq mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Fa529 Eq Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fa529 Eq's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fa529 Eq mutual fund have on its future price. Fa529 Eq autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fa529 Eq autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fa529 Eq mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fa529 Eq Gr.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out Fa529 Eq Correlation, Fa529 Eq Volatility and Fa529 Eq Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Fa529 Eq.
Note that the Fa529 Eq Gr information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fa529 Eq's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Fa529 Eq technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Fa529 Eq technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Fa529 Eq trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...