FGDPX Mutual Fund Market Value

FGDPX -  USA Fund  

USD 38.95  0.22  0.57%

Fa 529's market value is the price at which a share of Fa 529 stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Fa 529 Growth investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Fa 529 Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Fa 529 over a given investment horizon. Please check Fa 529 Hype Analysis, Fa 529 Correlation, Portfolio Optimization, Fa 529 Volatility, as well as analyze Fa 529 Alpha and Beta and Fa 529 Performance.
Symbol
Backtest

Please note, there is a significant difference between Fa 529's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Fa 529 value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fa 529's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Fa 529 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Fa 529's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Fa 529.
0.00
05/22/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 26 days
05/17/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Fa 529 on May 22, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Fa 529 Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Fa 529 over 360 days. Fa 529 is related to or competes with Vanguard Total, Vanguard Index, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Index, Vanguard Total, Vanguard 500, and Vanguard 500.

Fa 529 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Fa 529's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Fa 529 Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Fa 529 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Fa 529's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Fa 529's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Fa 529 historical prices to predict the future Fa 529's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fa 529's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Fa 529 in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
36.3938.9541.51
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
34.7237.2839.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fa 529. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fa 529's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fa 529's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Fa 529 Growth.

Fa 529 Growth Backtested Returns

Fa 529 Growth retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.16, which denotes the fund had -0.16% of return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. Macroaxis approach towards predicting the risk of any fund is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Fa 529 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm Fa 529 Growth market risk adjusted performance of (2.85), and Standard Deviation of 2.56 to check the risk estimate we provide.
The fund owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.1552, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what FGDPX's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Fa 529 returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fa 529 will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Fa 529 Growth existing price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity price patterns. Our approach towards predicting any fund's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Fa 529 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.82  

Excellent reverse predictability

Fa 529 Growth has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Fa 529 time series from 22nd of May 2021 to 18th of November 2021 and 18th of November 2021 to 17th of May 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Fa 529 Growth price movement. The serial correlation of -0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current Fa 529 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.82
Spearman Rank Test-0.74
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance34.03

Fa 529 Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Fa 529 mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Fa 529's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Fa 529 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Fa 529 mutual fund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

Fa 529 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Fa 529 mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Fa 529 mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Fa 529 mutual fund over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Fa 529 Lagged Returns

When evaluating Fa 529's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Fa 529 mutual fund have on its future price. Fa 529 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Fa 529 autocorrelation shows the relationship between Fa 529 mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Fa 529 Growth.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Fa 529 Investors Sentiment

The influence of Fa 529's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in FGDPX. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fa 529 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fa 529's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fa 529 options trading.

Current Sentiment - FGDPX

Fa 529 Growth Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are insensible in their opinion about investing in Fa 529 Growth. What is your opinion about investing in Fa 529 Growth? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
50% Bullish
50% Bearish
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Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Fa 529 Growth using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Please check Fa 529 Hype Analysis, Fa 529 Correlation, Portfolio Optimization, Fa 529 Volatility, as well as analyze Fa 529 Alpha and Beta and Fa 529 Performance. Note that the Fa 529 Growth information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fa 529's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for FGDPX Mutual Fund analysis

When running Fa 529 Growth price analysis, check to measure Fa 529's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fa 529 is operating at the current time. Most of Fa 529's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fa 529's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fa 529's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fa 529 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Fa 529 technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Fa 529 technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Fa 529 trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...