Gmo Emerging Markets Fund Market Value
| GEMMX Fund | USD 23.56 0.09 0.38% |
| Symbol | Gmo |
Gmo Emerging 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Gmo Emerging's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Gmo Emerging.
| 05/05/2022 |
| 04/24/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Gmo Emerging on May 5, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Gmo Emerging Markets or generate 0.0% return on investment in Gmo Emerging over 720 days. Gmo Emerging is related to or competes with Gmo Core, Gmo Us, Gmo Global, Gmo High, Gmo Implementation, Gmo Global, and Gmo Emerging. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of the funds net assets directly and indirectly in comp... More
Gmo Emerging Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Gmo Emerging's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Gmo Emerging Markets upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.6932 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.05) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.18 |
Gmo Emerging Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Gmo Emerging's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Gmo Emerging's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Gmo Emerging historical prices to predict the future Gmo Emerging's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.068 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0116 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0958 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gmo Emerging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gmo Emerging Markets Backtested Returns
We consider Gmo Emerging very steady. Gmo Emerging Markets holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0756, which attests that the entity had a 0.0756% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Gmo Emerging Markets, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Gmo Emerging's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.068, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1058, and Downside Deviation of 0.6932 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0524%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.7, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Gmo Emerging's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gmo Emerging is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.79 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Gmo Emerging Markets has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Gmo Emerging time series from 25th of March 2024 to 9th of April 2024 and 9th of April 2024 to 24th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Gmo Emerging Markets price movement. The serial correlation of -0.79 indicates that around 79.0% of current Gmo Emerging price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.79 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.67 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.13 |
Gmo Emerging Markets lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Gmo Emerging mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Gmo Emerging's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Gmo Emerging returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Gmo Emerging has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Gmo Emerging regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Gmo Emerging mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Gmo Emerging mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Gmo Emerging mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Gmo Emerging Lagged Returns
When evaluating Gmo Emerging's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Gmo Emerging mutual fund have on its future price. Gmo Emerging autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Gmo Emerging autocorrelation shows the relationship between Gmo Emerging mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Gmo Emerging Markets.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Gmo Emerging in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Gmo Emerging's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Gmo Emerging options trading.
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Gmo Emerging technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.