Grifols Sa Adr Stock Market Value

GIKLY Stock  USD 5.05  0.16  3.07%   
Grifols SA's market value is the price at which a share of Grifols SA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Grifols SA ADR investors about its performance. Grifols SA is trading at 5.05 as of the 11th of September 2024; that is 3.07% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 5.21.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Grifols SA ADR and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Grifols SA over a given investment horizon. Check out Grifols SA Correlation, Grifols SA Volatility and Grifols SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Grifols SA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Grifols SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grifols SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grifols SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Grifols SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Grifols SA's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Grifols SA.
0.00
09/22/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
09/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Grifols SA on September 22, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Grifols SA ADR or generate 0.0% return on investment in Grifols SA over 720 days. Grifols SA is related to or competes with Sanofi ADR, Bristol Myers, AstraZeneca PLC, Gilead Sciences, and Novartis. Grifols, S.A. engages in the procurement, manufacture, preparation, and sale of therapeutic products, primarily hemoderi... More

Grifols SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Grifols SA's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Grifols SA ADR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Grifols SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Grifols SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Grifols SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Grifols SA historical prices to predict the future Grifols SA's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grifols SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.185.058.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.314.188.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.694.568.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.975.105.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grifols SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grifols SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grifols SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Grifols SA ADR.

Grifols SA ADR Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Grifols Pink Sheet to be relatively risky. Grifols SA ADR holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0252, which attests that the entity had a 0.0252% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Grifols SA ADR, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Grifols SA's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), downside deviation of 4.35, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0157 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0974%. Grifols SA has a performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -1.22, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Grifols SA are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Grifols SA is expected to outperform it. Grifols SA ADR right now retains a risk of 3.87%. Please check out Grifols SA sortino ratio, as well as the relationship between the semi variance and day median price , to decide if Grifols SA will be following its current trending patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.22  

Weak reverse predictability

Grifols SA ADR has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Grifols SA time series from 22nd of September 2022 to 17th of September 2023 and 17th of September 2023 to 11th of September 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Grifols SA ADR price movement. The serial correlation of -0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Grifols SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.22
Spearman Rank Test-0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.13

Grifols SA ADR lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Grifols SA pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Grifols SA's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Grifols SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Grifols SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Grifols SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Grifols SA pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Grifols SA pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Grifols SA pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Grifols SA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Grifols SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Grifols SA pink sheet have on its future price. Grifols SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Grifols SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Grifols SA pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Grifols SA ADR.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Grifols Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Grifols SA's price analysis, check to measure Grifols SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grifols SA is operating at the current time. Most of Grifols SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grifols SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grifols SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grifols SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.