Guggenheim Styleplus Fund Market Value
| GILIX Fund | USD 21.17 0.26 1.21% |
| Symbol | Guggenheim |
Guggenheim Styleplus 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guggenheim Styleplus' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guggenheim Styleplus.
| 04/27/2022 |
| 04/16/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Guggenheim Styleplus on April 27, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guggenheim Styleplus or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guggenheim Styleplus over 720 days. Guggenheim Styleplus is related to or competes with Harbor Large, and Siit Dynamic. The fund seeks to exceed the total return of the SP 500 Index More
Guggenheim Styleplus Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guggenheim Styleplus' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guggenheim Styleplus upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.7301 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0458 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.5 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.21) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.07 |
Guggenheim Styleplus Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guggenheim Styleplus' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guggenheim Styleplus' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guggenheim Styleplus historical prices to predict the future Guggenheim Styleplus' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0836 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0324 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0245 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0462 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0842 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guggenheim Styleplus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guggenheim Styleplus Backtested Returns
We consider Guggenheim Styleplus very steady. Guggenheim Styleplus holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.15, which attests that the entity had a 0.15% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Guggenheim Styleplus, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Guggenheim Styleplus' Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0942, downside deviation of 0.7301, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0836 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.03, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Guggenheim Styleplus returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Guggenheim Styleplus is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | 0.17 |
Very weak predictability
Guggenheim Styleplus has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guggenheim Styleplus time series from 27th of April 2022 to 22nd of April 2023 and 22nd of April 2023 to 16th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guggenheim Styleplus price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Guggenheim Styleplus price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.17 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.28 |
Guggenheim Styleplus lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Guggenheim Styleplus mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guggenheim Styleplus' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guggenheim Styleplus returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guggenheim Styleplus has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Guggenheim Styleplus regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guggenheim Styleplus mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guggenheim Styleplus mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guggenheim Styleplus mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Guggenheim Styleplus Lagged Returns
When evaluating Guggenheim Styleplus' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guggenheim Styleplus mutual fund have on its future price. Guggenheim Styleplus autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guggenheim Styleplus autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guggenheim Styleplus mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guggenheim Styleplus .
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Guggenheim Styleplus technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.