Grifols SA (Spain) Market Value

GRF Stock  EUR 8.30  0.14  1.72%   
Grifols SA's market value is the price at which a share of Grifols SA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Grifols SA investors about its performance. Grifols SA is trading at 8.30 as of the 28th of March 2024, a 1.72 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 8.16.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Grifols SA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Grifols SA over a given investment horizon. Check out Grifols SA Correlation, Grifols SA Volatility and Grifols SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Grifols SA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Grifols SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grifols SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grifols SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Grifols SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Grifols SA's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Grifols SA.
0.00
02/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
03/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Grifols SA on February 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Grifols SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Grifols SA over 30 days. Grifols SA is related to or competes with Energy Solar, Parlem Telecom, Tier1 Technology, Arteche Lantegi, and Biotechnology Assets. Grifols, S.A. engages in the procurement, manufacture, preparation, and sale of therapeutic products primarily hemoderiv... More

Grifols SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Grifols SA's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Grifols SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Grifols SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Grifols SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Grifols SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Grifols SA historical prices to predict the future Grifols SA's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grifols SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.408.3016.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.178.0715.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.509.4017.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.128.258.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Grifols SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Grifols SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Grifols SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Grifols SA.

Grifols SA Backtested Returns

Grifols SA holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0807, which attests that the entity had a -0.0807% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Grifols SA exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Grifols SA's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), standard deviation of 7.8, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.31) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.41, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Grifols SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Grifols SA is expected to be smaller as well. Grifols SA has an expected return of -0.64%. Please make sure to check out Grifols SA value at risk, accumulation distribution, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and skewness , to decide if Grifols SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.47  

Modest reverse predictability

Grifols SA has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Grifols SA time series from 27th of February 2024 to 13th of March 2024 and 13th of March 2024 to 28th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Grifols SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Grifols SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.47
Spearman Rank Test-0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.14

Grifols SA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Grifols SA stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Grifols SA's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Grifols SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Grifols SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Grifols SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Grifols SA stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Grifols SA stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Grifols SA stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Grifols SA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Grifols SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Grifols SA stock have on its future price. Grifols SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Grifols SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Grifols SA stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Grifols SA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out Grifols SA Correlation, Grifols SA Volatility and Grifols SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Grifols SA.
Note that the Grifols SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Grifols SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

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When running Grifols SA's price analysis, check to measure Grifols SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grifols SA is operating at the current time. Most of Grifols SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grifols SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grifols SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grifols SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Grifols SA technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Grifols SA technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Grifols SA trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...