Rational Mutual Fund Market Value

HDCAX -  USA Fund  

USD 8.27  0.02  0.24%

Rational Dividend's market value is the price at which a share of Rational Dividend stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Rational Dividend Capture investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Rational Dividend Capture and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Rational Dividend over a given investment horizon. Please check Rational Dividend Hype Analysis, Rational Dividend Correlation, Portfolio Optimization, Rational Dividend Volatility, as well as analyze Rational Dividend Alpha and Beta and Rational Dividend Performance.
Symbol
Backtest

Please note, there is a significant difference between Rational Dividend's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Rational Dividend value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rational Dividend's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Rational Dividend 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Rational Dividend's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Rational Dividend.
0.00
04/17/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
05/17/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Rational Dividend on April 17, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Rational Dividend Capture or generate 0.0% return on investment in Rational Dividend over 30 days. Rational Dividend is related to or competes with American Mutual, American Mutual, American Mutual, and American Mutual. The investment seeks total return on investment, with dividend income an important component of that return

Rational Dividend Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Rational Dividend's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Rational Dividend Capture upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Rational Dividend Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Rational Dividend's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Rational Dividend's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Rational Dividend historical prices to predict the future Rational Dividend's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rational Dividend's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Rational Dividend in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
7.478.269.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
7.588.379.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rational Dividend. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rational Dividend's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rational Dividend's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Rational Dividend Capture.

Rational Dividend Capture Backtested Returns

Rational Dividend Capture maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.13, which implies the entity had -0.13% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards forecasting the risk of any fund is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Rational Dividend Capture exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check Rational Dividend Capture coefficient of variation of (677.51), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.20) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
The fund holds a Beta of 0.4706, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Rational's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Rational Dividend returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Rational Dividend will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Rational Dividend Capture current trending patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity existing price patterns. Our philosophy towards forecasting any fund's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Rational Dividend Capture exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.87  

Very good predictability

Rational Dividend Capture has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Rational Dividend time series from 17th of April 2022 to 2nd of May 2022 and 2nd of May 2022 to 17th of May 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Rational Dividend Capture price movement. The serial correlation of 0.87 indicates that approximately 87.0% of current Rational Dividend price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.87
Spearman Rank Test0.56
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Rational Dividend Capture lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Rational Dividend mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Rational Dividend's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Rational Dividend returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Rational Dividend mutual fund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

Rational Dividend regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Rational Dividend mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Rational Dividend mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Rational Dividend mutual fund over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Rational Dividend Lagged Returns

When evaluating Rational Dividend's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Rational Dividend mutual fund have on its future price. Rational Dividend autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Rational Dividend autocorrelation shows the relationship between Rational Dividend mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Rational Dividend Capture.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Rational Dividend without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Rational Dividend Capture using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Please check Rational Dividend Hype Analysis, Rational Dividend Correlation, Portfolio Optimization, Rational Dividend Volatility, as well as analyze Rational Dividend Alpha and Beta and Rational Dividend Performance. Note that the Rational Dividend Capture information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Rational Dividend's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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When running Rational Dividend Capture price analysis, check to measure Rational Dividend's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rational Dividend is operating at the current time. Most of Rational Dividend's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rational Dividend's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rational Dividend's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rational Dividend to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Rational Dividend technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Rational Dividend technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Rational Dividend trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...