Invest Capital (Pakistan) Market Value

ICIBL Stock   1.41  0.05  3.68%   
Invest Capital's market value is the price at which a share of Invest Capital trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Invest Capital Investment investors about its performance. Invest Capital is selling for 1.41 as of the 25th of April 2024. This is a 3.68% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 1.35.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Invest Capital Investment and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Invest Capital over a given investment horizon. Check out Invest Capital Correlation, Invest Capital Volatility and Invest Capital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invest Capital.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Invest Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invest Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invest Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Invest Capital 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Invest Capital's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Invest Capital.
0.00
03/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
04/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Invest Capital on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Invest Capital Investment or generate 0.0% return on investment in Invest Capital over 30 days. Invest Capital is related to or competes with Masood Textile, Modaraba, Fauji FoodsLtd, KSB Pumps, Mari Petroleum, Loads, and Thatta Cement. More

Invest Capital Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Invest Capital's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Invest Capital Investment upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Invest Capital Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Invest Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Invest Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Invest Capital historical prices to predict the future Invest Capital's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Invest Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.416.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.176.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.517.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.301.421.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invest Capital. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invest Capital's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invest Capital's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invest Capital Investment.

Invest Capital Investment Backtested Returns

Invest Capital appears to be extremely dangerous, given 3 months investment horizon. Invest Capital Investment holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0444, which attests that the entity had a 0.0444% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Invest Capital Investment, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Invest Capital's Downside Deviation of 4.67, market risk adjusted performance of (0.14), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0312 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Invest Capital holds a performance score of 3. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -1.22, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Invest Capital are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Invest Capital is expected to outperform it. Please check Invest Capital's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Invest Capital's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.61  

Good predictability

Invest Capital Investment has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Invest Capital time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Invest Capital Investment price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Invest Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.61
Spearman Rank Test0.52
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Invest Capital Investment lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Invest Capital stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Invest Capital's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Invest Capital returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Invest Capital has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Invest Capital regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Invest Capital stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Invest Capital stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Invest Capital stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Invest Capital Lagged Returns

When evaluating Invest Capital's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Invest Capital stock have on its future price. Invest Capital autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Invest Capital autocorrelation shows the relationship between Invest Capital stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Invest Capital Investment.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out Invest Capital Correlation, Invest Capital Volatility and Invest Capital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Invest Capital.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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When running Invest Capital's price analysis, check to measure Invest Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Invest Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Invest Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Invest Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Invest Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Invest Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Invest Capital technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Invest Capital technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Invest Capital trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...