Lipocine Stock Market Value

LPCN -  USA Stock  

USD 1.13  0.04  3.42%

Lipocine's market value is the price at which a share of Lipocine stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Lipocine investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Lipocine and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Lipocine over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see Lipocine Hype Analysis, Lipocine Correlation, Lipocine Valuation, Lipocine Volatility, as well as analyze Lipocine Alpha and Beta and Lipocine Performance.
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Is Lipocine's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lipocine. If investors know Lipocine will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lipocine listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Lipocine is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lipocine that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lipocine's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lipocine's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lipocine's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lipocine's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lipocine's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Lipocine value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lipocine's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Lipocine 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Lipocine's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Lipocine.
0.00
10/28/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
11/27/2021
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Lipocine on October 28, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Lipocine or generate 0.0% return on investment in Lipocine over 30 days. Lipocine is related to or competes with Mustang Bio, and Brickell Biotech. Lipocine Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of pharmaceutical products for the...

Lipocine Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Lipocine's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Lipocine upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Lipocine Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Lipocine's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Lipocine's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Lipocine historical prices to predict the future Lipocine's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lipocine's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Lipocine in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
0.061.134.20
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.091.794.86
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Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0220041.104.17
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3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
2.503.756.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lipocine. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lipocine's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lipocine's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Lipocine.

Lipocine Backtested Returns

Lipocine has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0768, which conveys that the firm had -0.0768% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards estimating the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Lipocine exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to verify Lipocine risk adjusted performance of (0.0454), and Mean Deviation of 2.36 to check out the risk estimate we provide.
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.5966, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Lipocine's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Lipocine returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lipocine will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Lipocine price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical price patterns. Our philosophy towards estimating any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Lipocine exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Lipocine has an expected return of -0.24%. Please be advised to verify Lipocine value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day median price to decide if Lipocine performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
AdviceVolatility TrendExposureCorrelations

Auto-correlation

    
  (0.56)   

Good reverse predictability

Lipocine has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Lipocine time series from 28th of October 2021 to 12th of November 2021 and 12th of November 2021 to 27th of November 2021. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Lipocine price movement. The serial correlation of -0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Lipocine price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices. Given that Lipocine has negative autocorrelation for selected time horizon, investors may consider taking a contrarian position regarding future price movement of Lipocine for similar time interval.
Correlation Coefficient-0.56
Spearman Rank Test-0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Lipocine lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Lipocine stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Lipocine's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Lipocine returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Lipocine stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

Lipocine regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Lipocine stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Lipocine stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Lipocine stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Lipocine Lagged Returns

When evaluating Lipocine's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Lipocine stock have on its future price. Lipocine autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Lipocine autocorrelation shows the relationship between Lipocine stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Lipocine.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Lipocine without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Lipocine using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Additionally, see Lipocine Hype Analysis, Lipocine Correlation, Lipocine Valuation, Lipocine Volatility, as well as analyze Lipocine Alpha and Beta and Lipocine Performance. Note that the Lipocine information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lipocine's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Complementary Tools for Lipocine Stock analysis

When running Lipocine price analysis, check to measure Lipocine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lipocine is operating at the current time. Most of Lipocine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lipocine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lipocine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lipocine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Lipocine technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Lipocine technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Lipocine trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...