Bank Leumi (Israel) Market Value

LUMI Stock  ILS 2,909  27.00  0.92%   
Bank Leumi's market value is the price at which a share of Bank Leumi trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bank Leumi Le Israel investors about its performance. Bank Leumi is trading at 2909.00 as of the 25th of April 2024, a -0.92 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 2936.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bank Leumi Le Israel and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bank Leumi over a given investment horizon. Check out Bank Leumi Correlation, Bank Leumi Volatility and Bank Leumi Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bank Leumi.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank Leumi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank Leumi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank Leumi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bank Leumi 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bank Leumi's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bank Leumi.
0.00
03/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
04/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bank Leumi on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bank Leumi Le Israel or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bank Leumi over 30 days. Bank Leumi is related to or competes with Bezeq Israeli, and Elbit Systems. Bank Leumi le-Israel B.M., together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial services in Israel and interna... More

Bank Leumi Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bank Leumi's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bank Leumi Le Israel upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bank Leumi Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bank Leumi's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bank Leumi's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bank Leumi historical prices to predict the future Bank Leumi's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank Leumi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,9072,9092,911
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,4322,4343,200
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,7842,7862,788
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,7392,8412,944
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank Leumi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank Leumi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank Leumi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank Leumi Le.

Bank Leumi Le Backtested Returns

We consider Bank Leumi very steady. Bank Leumi Le secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0533, which signifies that the company had a 0.0533% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-three technical indicators for Bank Leumi Le Israel, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Bank Leumi's Standard Deviation of 1.78, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Mean Deviation of 1.41 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.098%. Bank Leumi has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0999, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Bank Leumi are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Bank Leumi is likely to outperform the market. Bank Leumi Le right now shows a risk of 1.84%. Please confirm Bank Leumi Le value at risk, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if Bank Leumi Le will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.25  

Poor predictability

Bank Leumi Le Israel has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bank Leumi time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bank Leumi Le price movement. The serial correlation of 0.25 indicates that over 25.0% of current Bank Leumi price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.25
Spearman Rank Test0.54
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4155.84

Bank Leumi Le lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bank Leumi stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bank Leumi's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bank Leumi returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bank Leumi has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bank Leumi regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bank Leumi stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bank Leumi stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bank Leumi stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bank Leumi Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bank Leumi's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bank Leumi stock have on its future price. Bank Leumi autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bank Leumi autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bank Leumi stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bank Leumi Le Israel.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Bank Leumi in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Bank Leumi's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Bank Leumi options trading.

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Check out Bank Leumi Correlation, Bank Leumi Volatility and Bank Leumi Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bank Leumi.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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Bank Leumi technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Bank Leumi technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Bank Leumi trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...