Moelis Stock Market Value

MC
 Stock
  

USD 33.81  0.02  0.06%   

Moelis' market value is the price at which a share of Moelis stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Moelis investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Moelis and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Moelis over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see Moelis Correlation, Moelis Volatility and Moelis Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Moelis.
Symbol


Is Moelis' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moelis. If investors know Moelis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Moelis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Moelis is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Moelis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Moelis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Moelis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Moelis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Moelis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Moelis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Moelis value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Moelis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Moelis 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Moelis' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Moelis.
0.00
08/04/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 1 day
10/03/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Moelis on August 4, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Moelis or generate 0.0% return on investment in Moelis over 60 days. Moelis is related to or competes with Amazon. Moelis Company operates as an investment banking advisory firm More

Moelis Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Moelis' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Moelis upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Moelis Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Moelis' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Moelis' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Moelis historical prices to predict the future Moelis' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Moelis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Moelis in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
31.2633.5235.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
30.4341.0343.29
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
63.0071.8378.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Moelis. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Moelis' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Moelis' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Moelis.

Moelis Backtested Returns

Moelis has Sharpe Ratio of -0.12, which conveys that the firm had -0.12% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards estimating the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Moelis exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to verify Moelis mean deviation of 1.76, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11) to check out the risk estimate we provide.
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.6161, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Moelis's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Moelis will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Moelis price patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical price patterns. Our philosophy towards estimating any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Moelis exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Moelis has an expected return of -0.27%. Please be advised to verify Moelis variance, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance to decide if Moelis performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.57  

Modest predictability

Moelis has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Moelis time series from 4th of August 2022 to 3rd of September 2022 and 3rd of September 2022 to 3rd of October 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Moelis price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Moelis price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.57
Spearman Rank Test0.47
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance10.65

Moelis lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Moelis stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Moelis' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Moelis returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Moelis stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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       Timeline  

Moelis regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Moelis stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Moelis stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Moelis stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
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       Timeline  

Moelis Lagged Returns

When evaluating Moelis' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Moelis stock have on its future price. Moelis autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Moelis autocorrelation shows the relationship between Moelis stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Moelis.
   Regressed Prices   
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       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Moelis in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Moelis' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Moelis options trading.

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Additionally, see Moelis Correlation, Moelis Volatility and Moelis Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Moelis. Note that the Moelis information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Moelis' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

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When running Moelis price analysis, check to measure Moelis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moelis is operating at the current time. Most of Moelis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moelis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moelis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moelis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Moelis technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Moelis technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Moelis trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...