McDonalds Stock Market Value

MCD Stock  USD 272.46  2.26  0.82%   
McDonalds' market value is the price at which a share of McDonalds stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of McDonalds investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of McDonalds and determine expected loss or profit from investing in McDonalds over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see McDonalds Correlation, McDonalds Volatility and McDonalds Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on McDonalds.
Symbol


Is McDonalds' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of McDonalds. If investors know McDonalds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about McDonalds listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.06) 
Market Capitalization
199.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05) 
Return On Assets
0.1255
The market value of McDonalds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of McDonalds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of McDonalds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is McDonalds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because McDonalds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect McDonalds' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between McDonalds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine McDonalds value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, McDonalds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

McDonalds 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to McDonalds' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of McDonalds.
0.00
11/29/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 2 days
01/28/2023
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in McDonalds on November 29, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding McDonalds or generate 0.0% return on investment in McDonalds over 60 days. McDonalds is related to or competes with Onewater Marine, Darling Ingredients, Polaris Industries, Ebro Foods, Central Garden, and Hormel Foods. McDonalds Corporation operates and franchises McDonalds restaurants in the United States and internationally More

McDonalds Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure McDonalds' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess McDonalds upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

McDonalds Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for McDonalds' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as McDonalds' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use McDonalds historical prices to predict the future McDonalds' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of McDonalds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of McDonalds in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
271.43272.43273.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
272.13273.13274.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
273.88274.88275.88
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
237.00275.29314.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as McDonalds. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against McDonalds' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, McDonalds' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in McDonalds.

McDonalds Backtested Returns

We consider McDonalds very steady. McDonalds has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0129, which conveys that the firm had 0.0129% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our approach to estimating the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for McDonalds, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please verify McDonalds mean deviation of 0.8138, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1117 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0129%.
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.3877, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what McDonalds's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, McDonalds returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding McDonalds will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is important to respect McDonalds price patterns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's historical price patterns. The approach to estimating future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By reviewing McDonalds technical indicators, you can currently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0129% will be sustainable into the future. McDonalds presently secures a risk of 1.0%. Please verify McDonalds coefficient of variation, maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the information ratio and downside variance to decide if McDonalds will be following its current price movements.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.28  

Weak reverse predictability

McDonalds has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between McDonalds time series from 29th of November 2022 to 29th of December 2022 and 29th of December 2022 to 28th of January 2023. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of McDonalds price movement. The serial correlation of -0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current McDonalds price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.28
Spearman Rank Test-0.59
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance12.33

McDonalds lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is McDonalds stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting McDonalds' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of McDonalds returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that McDonalds stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

McDonalds regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If McDonalds stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if McDonalds stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in McDonalds stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

McDonalds Lagged Returns

When evaluating McDonalds' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of McDonalds stock have on its future price. McDonalds autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, McDonalds autocorrelation shows the relationship between McDonalds stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in McDonalds.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in McDonalds without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Additionally, see McDonalds Correlation, McDonalds Volatility and McDonalds Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on McDonalds. Note that the McDonalds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other McDonalds' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for McDonalds Stock analysis

When running McDonalds price analysis, check to measure McDonalds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy McDonalds is operating at the current time. Most of McDonalds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of McDonalds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move McDonalds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of McDonalds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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McDonalds technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of McDonalds technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of McDonalds trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...