Altria Stock Market Value

MO -  USA Stock  

USD 51.09  2.11  3.97%

Altria's market value is the price at which a share of Altria stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Altria Group investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Altria Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Altria over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see Altria Hype Analysis, Altria Correlation, Altria Valuation, Altria Volatility, as well as analyze Altria Alpha and Beta and Altria Performance.
Symbol
Backtest


Is Altria's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Altria. If investors know Altria will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Altria listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Altria Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Altria that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Altria's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Altria's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Altria's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Altria's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Altria's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Altria value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Altria's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Altria 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Altria's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Altria.
0.00
04/23/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
05/23/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Altria on April 23, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Altria Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Altria over 30 days. Altria is related to or competes with British Amer, Philip Morris, and Kaival Brands. Altria Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells smokeable and oral tobacco products in the United S...

Altria Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Altria's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Altria Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Altria Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Altria's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Altria's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Altria historical prices to predict the future Altria's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altria's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Altria in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
49.3851.1052.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
49.7751.4953.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
49.1850.9052.62
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
46.0050.8856.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Altria. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Altria's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Altria's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Altria Group.

Altria Group Backtested Returns

We consider Altria very steady. Altria Group secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0208, which signifies that the company had 0.0208% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Altria Group, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please confirm Altria Group Downside Deviation of 2.32, risk adjusted performance of 0.0454, and Mean Deviation of 1.16 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0357%.
Altria has performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.4098, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Altria's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Altria returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Altria will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is extremely important to respect Altria Group historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Altria Group technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0357% will be sustainable into the future. Altria Group right now shows a risk of 1.72%. Please confirm Altria Group information ratio, potential upside, as well as the relationship between the Potential Upside and kurtosis to decide if Altria Group will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.13  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Altria Group has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Altria time series from 23rd of April 2022 to 8th of May 2022 and 8th of May 2022 to 23rd of May 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Altria Group price movement. The serial correlation of -0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current Altria price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.13
Spearman Rank Test-0.45
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.87

Altria Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Altria stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Altria's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Altria returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Altria stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

Altria regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Altria stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Altria stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Altria stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Altria Lagged Returns

When evaluating Altria's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Altria stock have on its future price. Altria autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Altria autocorrelation shows the relationship between Altria stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Altria Group.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Altria without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Altria Group using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Additionally, see Altria Hype Analysis, Altria Correlation, Altria Valuation, Altria Volatility, as well as analyze Altria Alpha and Beta and Altria Performance. Note that the Altria Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Altria's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

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When running Altria Group price analysis, check to measure Altria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altria is operating at the current time. Most of Altria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Altria technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Altria technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Altria trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...