Small Pany Growth Fund Market Value
| MSSLX Fund | USD 6.13 0.11 1.83% |
| Symbol | Small |
Small Pany 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Small Pany's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Small Pany.
| 03/25/2024 |
| 04/24/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Small Pany on March 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Small Pany Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Small Pany over 30 days. Small Pany is related to or competes with Mid Cap, Growth Portfolio, Us Real, Morgan Stanley, and Emerging Markets. The fund will, under normal circumstances, seek to achieve its investment objective by investing primarily in establishe... More
Small Pany Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Small Pany's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Small Pany Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.04) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.15 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.57) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.55 |
Small Pany Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Small Pany's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Small Pany's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Small Pany historical prices to predict the future Small Pany's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0066 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.18) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.29) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.01) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Small Pany's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Small Pany Growth Backtested Returns
We consider Small Pany somewhat reliable. Small Pany Growth owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0034, which indicates the fund had a 0.0034% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-two technical indicators for Small Pany Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Small Pany's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0066, variance of 4.64, and Coefficient Of Variation of (105,117) to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0072%. The entity has a beta of 2.11, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Small Pany will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | 0.88 |
Very good predictability
Small Pany Growth has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Small Pany time series from 25th of March 2024 to 9th of April 2024 and 9th of April 2024 to 24th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Small Pany Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.88 indicates that approximately 88.0% of current Small Pany price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.88 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.79 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.07 |
Small Pany Growth lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Small Pany mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Small Pany's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Small Pany returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Small Pany has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Small Pany regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Small Pany mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Small Pany mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Small Pany mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Small Pany Lagged Returns
When evaluating Small Pany's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Small Pany mutual fund have on its future price. Small Pany autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Small Pany autocorrelation shows the relationship between Small Pany mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Small Pany Growth.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Small Pany technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.