Massmutual Premier Short Duration Fund Market Value

MSTZX Fund  USD 8.94  0.01  0.11%   
Massmutual Premier's market value is the price at which a share of Massmutual Premier trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Massmutual Premier Short Duration investors about its performance. Massmutual Premier is trading at 8.94 as of the 25th of April 2024; that is 0.11 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.93.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Massmutual Premier Short Duration and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Massmutual Premier over a given investment horizon. Check out Massmutual Premier Correlation, Massmutual Premier Volatility and Massmutual Premier Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Massmutual Premier.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Massmutual Premier's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Massmutual Premier is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Massmutual Premier's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Massmutual Premier 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Massmutual Premier's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Massmutual Premier.
0.00
03/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
04/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Massmutual Premier on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Massmutual Premier Short Duration or generate 0.0% return on investment in Massmutual Premier over 30 days. Massmutual Premier is related to or competes with Massmutual Select, Massmutual Select, Massmutual Select, Massmutual Select, Massmutual Select, Massmutual Select, and Massmutual Select. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in investment grade fixed income securities . More

Massmutual Premier Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Massmutual Premier's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Massmutual Premier Short Duration upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Massmutual Premier Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Massmutual Premier's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Massmutual Premier's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Massmutual Premier historical prices to predict the future Massmutual Premier's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Massmutual Premier's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.788.949.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.068.229.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.788.949.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.938.948.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Massmutual Premier. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Massmutual Premier's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Massmutual Premier's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Massmutual Premier.

Massmutual Premier Backtested Returns

We consider Massmutual Premier very steady. Massmutual Premier has Sharpe Ratio of 0.11, which conveys that the entity had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Massmutual Premier, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Massmutual Premier's Mean Deviation of 0.1188, coefficient of variation of 659.29, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0652 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0183%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0693, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Massmutual Premier's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Massmutual Premier is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.19  

Insignificant reverse predictability

Massmutual Premier Short Duration has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Massmutual Premier time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Massmutual Premier price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Massmutual Premier price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test-0.42
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Massmutual Premier lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Massmutual Premier mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Massmutual Premier's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Massmutual Premier returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Massmutual Premier has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Massmutual Premier regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Massmutual Premier mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Massmutual Premier mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Massmutual Premier mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Massmutual Premier Lagged Returns

When evaluating Massmutual Premier's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Massmutual Premier mutual fund have on its future price. Massmutual Premier autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Massmutual Premier autocorrelation shows the relationship between Massmutual Premier mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Massmutual Premier Short Duration.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
Check out Massmutual Premier Correlation, Massmutual Premier Volatility and Massmutual Premier Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Massmutual Premier.
Note that the Massmutual Premier information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Massmutual Premier's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Massmutual Premier technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Massmutual Premier technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Massmutual Premier trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...