Mainstay Government Liquidity Fund Market Value

MUSXX Fund  USD 1.00  0.00  0.00%   
Mainstay's market value is the price at which a share of Mainstay trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mainstay Government Liquidity investors about its performance. Mainstay is trading at 1.0 as of the 23rd of April 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 1.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mainstay Government Liquidity and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mainstay over a given investment horizon. Check out Mainstay Correlation, Mainstay Volatility and Mainstay Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mainstay.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mainstay's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mainstay is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mainstay's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mainstay 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mainstay's money market fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mainstay.
0.00
07/28/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 8 months and 27 days
04/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mainstay on July 28, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mainstay Government Liquidity or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mainstay over 270 days. Mainstay is related to or competes with IShares International, and Merck. Mainstay is entity of United States. It is traded as Fund on NMFQS exchange. More

Mainstay Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mainstay's money market fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mainstay Government Liquidity upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mainstay Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mainstay's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mainstay's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mainstay historical prices to predict the future Mainstay's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mainstay's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.0011.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.2711.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mainstay. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mainstay's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mainstay's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mainstay Government.

Mainstay Government Backtested Returns

Mainstay Government has Sharpe Ratio of -0.13, which conveys that the entity had a -0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Mainstay exposes eighteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Mainstay's Mean Deviation of 2.42, risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Standard Deviation of 9.96 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.26, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Mainstay will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.35  

Poor reverse predictability

Mainstay Government Liquidity has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mainstay time series from 28th of July 2023 to 10th of December 2023 and 10th of December 2023 to 23rd of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mainstay Government price movement. The serial correlation of -0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Mainstay price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.35
Spearman Rank Test-0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.48

Mainstay Government lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mainstay money market fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mainstay's money market fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mainstay returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mainstay has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the money market fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mainstay regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mainstay money market fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mainstay money market fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mainstay money market fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mainstay Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mainstay's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mainstay money market fund have on its future price. Mainstay autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mainstay autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mainstay money market fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mainstay Government Liquidity.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out Mainstay Correlation, Mainstay Volatility and Mainstay Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mainstay.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Mainstay technical money market fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Mainstay technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Mainstay trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...