Natural Health Trend Stock Market Value
| NHTC Stock | USD 6.68 0.06 0.91% |
| Symbol | Natural |
Natural Health Trend Price To Book Ratio
Is Natural Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Health. If investors know Natural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natural Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.823 | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 0.05 | Revenue Per Share 3.841 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
The market value of Natural Health Trend is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natural Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natural Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natural Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natural Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natural Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natural Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natural Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Natural Health 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Natural Health's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Natural Health.
| 04/30/2022 |
| 04/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Natural Health on April 30, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Natural Health Trend or generate 0.0% return on investment in Natural Health over 720 days. Natural Health is related to or competes with Inter Parfums, European Wax, Yatsen Holding, Edgewell Personal, Natura Co, Estee Lauder, and ELF Beauty. Natural Health Trends Corp., a direct-selling and e-commerce company, provides personal care, wellness, and lifestyle pr... More
Natural Health Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Natural Health's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Natural Health Trend upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0465 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.14 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.58) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.78 |
Natural Health Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Natural Health's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Natural Health's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Natural Health historical prices to predict the future Natural Health's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0546 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1622 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0397 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 3.49 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natural Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Natural Health Trend Backtested Returns
We consider Natural Health somewhat reliable. Natural Health Trend has Sharpe Ratio of 0.081, which conveys that the firm had a 0.081% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Natural Health, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please verify Natural Health's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0546, mean deviation of 1.52, and Downside Deviation of 2.68 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.19%. Natural Health has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0473, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Natural Health's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Natural Health is expected to be smaller as well. Natural Health Trend right now secures a risk of 2.32%. Please verify Natural Health Trend expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if Natural Health Trend will be following its current price movements.
Auto-correlation | 0.23 |
Weak predictability
Natural Health Trend has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Natural Health time series from 30th of April 2022 to 25th of April 2023 and 25th of April 2023 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Natural Health Trend price movement. The serial correlation of 0.23 indicates that over 23.0% of current Natural Health price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.23 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.07 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.38 |
Natural Health Trend lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Natural Health stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Natural Health's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Natural Health returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Natural Health has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Natural Health regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Natural Health stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Natural Health stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Natural Health stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Natural Health Lagged Returns
When evaluating Natural Health's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Natural Health stock have on its future price. Natural Health autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Natural Health autocorrelation shows the relationship between Natural Health stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Natural Health Trend.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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When running Natural Health's price analysis, check to measure Natural Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Health is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Natural Health technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.