Magna Mining's market value is the price at which a share of Magna Mining stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Magna Mining investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Magna Mining and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Magna Mining over a given investment horizon. Check out Magna Mining Correlation, Magna Mining Volatility and Magna Mining Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Magna Mining.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Magna Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Magna Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Magna Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Magna Mining 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Magna Mining's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Magna Mining.
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Magna Mining's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Magna Mining upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Magna Mining's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Magna Mining's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Magna Mining historical prices to predict the future Magna Mining's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Magna Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Magna Mining in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Magna Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Magna Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Magna Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Magna Mining.
Magna Mining Backtested Returns
Magna Mining has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0325, which conveys that the firm had -0.0325% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards estimating the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Magna Mining exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its stock price that cannot be diversified away. Please verify Magna Mining's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), standard deviation of 4.13, and Mean Deviation of 2.98 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0331, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Magna Mining are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Magna Mining is likely to outperform the market. Magna Mining exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Magna Mining has an expected return of -0.14%. Please make sure to verify Magna Mining standard deviation, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio to decide if Magna Mining performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Weak reverse predictability
Magna Mining has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Magna Mining time series from 23rd of January 2024 to 7th of February 2024 and 7th of February 2024 to 22nd of February 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Magna Mining price movement. The serial correlation of -0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Magna Mining price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Spearman Rank Test
Magna Mining lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Magna Mining stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Magna Mining's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Magna Mining returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Magna Mining stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values
Magna Mining regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Magna Mining stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Magna Mining stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Magna Mining stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices
Magna Mining Lagged Returns
When evaluating Magna Mining's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Magna Mining stock have on its future price. Magna Mining autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Magna Mining autocorrelation shows the relationship between Magna Mining stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Magna Mining.
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Note that the Magna Mining information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Magna Mining's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for Magna Stock analysis
When running Magna Mining's price analysis, check to measure Magna Mining's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Magna Mining is operating at the current time. Most of Magna Mining's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Magna Mining's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Magna Mining's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Magna Mining to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Magna Mining technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Magna Mining technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Magna Mining trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...
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