Natcore Technology Stock Market Value

Natcore Technology's market value is the price at which a share of Natcore Technology trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Natcore Technology investors about its performance.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Natcore Technology and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Natcore Technology over a given investment horizon. Check out Natcore Technology Correlation, Natcore Technology Volatility and Natcore Technology Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Natcore Technology.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Natcore Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natcore Technology is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natcore Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Natcore Technology 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Natcore Technology's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Natcore Technology.
0.00
05/06/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
04/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Natcore Technology on May 6, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Natcore Technology or generate 0.0% return on investment in Natcore Technology over 720 days. Natcore Technology is related to or competes with NCino, Thinkific Labs, Dassault Systemes, Snowflake, Zoom Video, and Shopify. Natcore Technology Inc., a research and development company, develops and owns technology for the manufacturing of solar... More

Natcore Technology Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Natcore Technology's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Natcore Technology upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Natcore Technology Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Natcore Technology's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Natcore Technology's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Natcore Technology historical prices to predict the future Natcore Technology's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Natcore Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
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Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Natcore Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Natcore Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Natcore Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Natcore Technology.

Natcore Technology Backtested Returns

We have found zero technical indicators for Natcore Technology, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and Natcore Technology are completely uncorrelated.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.81  

Very good predictability

Natcore Technology has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Natcore Technology time series from 6th of May 2022 to 1st of May 2023 and 1st of May 2023 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Natcore Technology price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Natcore Technology price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.81
Spearman Rank Test0.7
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Natcore Technology lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Natcore Technology pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Natcore Technology's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Natcore Technology returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Natcore Technology has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Natcore Technology regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Natcore Technology pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Natcore Technology pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Natcore Technology pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Natcore Technology Lagged Returns

When evaluating Natcore Technology's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Natcore Technology pink sheet have on its future price. Natcore Technology autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Natcore Technology autocorrelation shows the relationship between Natcore Technology pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Natcore Technology.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out Natcore Technology Correlation, Natcore Technology Volatility and Natcore Technology Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Natcore Technology.
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Natcore Technology technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Natcore Technology technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Natcore Technology trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...