Nutrien Stock Market Value

NTR -  USA Stock  

USD 102.64  1.19  1.17%

Nutrien's market value is the price at which a share of Nutrien stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nutrien investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nutrien and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nutrien over a given investment horizon. Additionally, see Nutrien Hype Analysis, Nutrien Correlation, Nutrien Valuation, Nutrien Volatility, as well as analyze Nutrien Alpha and Beta and Nutrien Performance.
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Is Nutrien's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nutrien. If investors know Nutrien will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nutrien listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Nutrien is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nutrien that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nutrien's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nutrien's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nutrien's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nutrien's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nutrien's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Nutrien value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nutrien's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nutrien 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nutrien's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nutrien.
0.00
09/21/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 7 months and 29 days
05/19/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nutrien on September 21, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nutrien or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nutrien over 240 days. Nutrien is related to or competes with Corteva, Mosaic, Cf Industries, Israel Chemicals, and FMC Corp. The company offers potash, nitrogen, phosphate, and sulfate products and financial solutions

Nutrien Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nutrien's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nutrien upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nutrien Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nutrien's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nutrien's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nutrien historical prices to predict the future Nutrien's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nutrien's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Nutrien in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
98.14101.32104.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
63.7766.95111.65
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
43.0055.7565.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.571.661.69
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nutrien. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nutrien's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nutrien's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Nutrien.

Nutrien Backtested Returns

Nutrien appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Nutrien has Sharpe Ratio of 0.16, which conveys that the firm had 0.16% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards estimating the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. By analyzing Nutrien technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.52% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Nutrien's Downside Deviation of 3.26, mean deviation of 2.38, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2425 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Nutrien holds a performance score of 11. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.5952, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Nutrien's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Nutrien returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nutrien will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is vital to follow Nutrien price patterns, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity historical price patterns. The philosophy towards estimating future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Nutrien, which you can use to evaluate the performance of the firm. Please exercises Nutrien total risk alpha, downside variance, as well as the relationship between the Downside Variance and daily balance of power to make a quick decision on whether Nutrien current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.35  

Below average predictability

Nutrien has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nutrien time series from 21st of September 2021 to 19th of January 2022 and 19th of January 2022 to 19th of May 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nutrien price movement. The serial correlation of 0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Nutrien price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.35
Spearman Rank Test0.34
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance203.35

Nutrien lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nutrien stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nutrien's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nutrien returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nutrien stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

Nutrien regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nutrien stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nutrien stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nutrien stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Nutrien Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nutrien's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nutrien stock have on its future price. Nutrien autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nutrien autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nutrien stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nutrien.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Nutrien Investors Sentiment

The influence of Nutrien's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Nutrien. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Nutrien Implied Volatility

    
  62.39  
Nutrien's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nutrien stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nutrien's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nutrien stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nutrien's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Nutrien in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Nutrien's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Nutrien options trading.

Current Sentiment - NTR

Nutrien Investor Sentiment

Greater number of Macroaxis users are now bullish on Nutrien. What is your trading attitude regarding investing in Nutrien? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Additionally, see Nutrien Hype Analysis, Nutrien Correlation, Nutrien Valuation, Nutrien Volatility, as well as analyze Nutrien Alpha and Beta and Nutrien Performance. Note that the Nutrien information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nutrien's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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When running Nutrien price analysis, check to measure Nutrien's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nutrien is operating at the current time. Most of Nutrien's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nutrien's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nutrien's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nutrien to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Nutrien technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Nutrien technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Nutrien trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...