Optimum Large Cap Fund Market Value
| OCLGX Fund | USD 13.46 0.01 0.07% |
| Symbol | Optimum |
Optimum Large 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Optimum Large's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Optimum Large.
| 02/19/2024 |
| 05/19/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Optimum Large on February 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Optimum Large Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Optimum Large over 90 days. Optimum Large is related to or competes with American Funds, American Funds, Growth Fund, Growth Fund, Growth Fund, Growth Fund, and Growth Fund. The fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus the amount of any borrowings for investment purposes, i... More
Optimum Large Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Optimum Large's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Optimum Large Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.9114 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.71 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.59) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.72 |
Optimum Large Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Optimum Large's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Optimum Large's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Optimum Large historical prices to predict the future Optimum Large's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0491 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0575 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Optimum Large's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Optimum Large Cap Backtested Returns
We consider Optimum Large very steady. Optimum Large Cap maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.1, which implies the entity had a 0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Optimum Large Cap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check Optimum Large's Semi Deviation of 0.7537, coefficient of variation of 1310.28, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0491 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The fund holds a Beta of 1.2, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Optimum Large will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | 0.13 |
Insignificant predictability
Optimum Large Cap has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Optimum Large time series from 19th of February 2024 to 4th of April 2024 and 4th of April 2024 to 19th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Optimum Large Cap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.13 indicates that less than 13.0% of current Optimum Large price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.13 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.16 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.08 |
Optimum Large Cap lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Optimum Large mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Optimum Large's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Optimum Large returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Optimum Large has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Optimum Large regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Optimum Large mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Optimum Large mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Optimum Large mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Optimum Large Lagged Returns
When evaluating Optimum Large's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Optimum Large mutual fund have on its future price. Optimum Large autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Optimum Large autocorrelation shows the relationship between Optimum Large mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Optimum Large Cap.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Optimum Large Correlation, Optimum Large Volatility and Optimum Large Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Optimum Large. Note that the Optimum Large Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Optimum Large's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Optimum Large technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.