Oracle Stock Market Value

ORCL -  USA Stock  

USD 68.63  1.59  2.37%

Oracle's market value is the price at which a share of Oracle stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Oracle Corp investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Oracle Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Oracle over a given investment horizon. Please check Oracle Hype Analysis, Oracle Correlation, Oracle Valuation, Oracle Volatility, as well as analyze Oracle Alpha and Beta and Oracle Performance.
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Is Oracle's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oracle. If investors know Oracle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oracle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Oracle Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oracle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oracle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oracle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oracle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oracle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oracle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Oracle value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oracle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Oracle 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Oracle's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Oracle.
0.00
06/01/2020
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
05/22/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Oracle on June 1, 2020 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Oracle Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Oracle over 720 days. Oracle is related to or competes with Xunlei, Servicenow, Teradata Corp, Vnet, Unisys Corp, and Renren Inc. Oracle Corporation provides products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide

Oracle Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Oracle's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Oracle Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Oracle Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oracle's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Oracle's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Oracle historical prices to predict the future Oracle's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oracle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oracle in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
66.6168.5670.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
61.7773.7475.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
64.8266.7768.72
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
75.0097.38126.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oracle. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oracle's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oracle's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oracle Corp.

Oracle Corp Backtested Returns

Oracle Corp maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0479, which implies the firm had -0.0479% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards forecasting the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Oracle Corp exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check Oracle Corp coefficient of variation of (1,060), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.12) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
The company holds a Beta of 1.2122, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Oracle's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Oracle will likely underperform. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Oracle Corp current trending patterns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity existing price patterns. Our philosophy towards forecasting any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Oracle Corp exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Oracle Corp has an expected return of -0.0935%. Please be advised to check Oracle Corp coefficient of variation, potential upside, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness to decide if Oracle Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.56  

Good reverse predictability

Oracle Corp has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Oracle time series from 1st of June 2020 to 27th of May 2021 and 27th of May 2021 to 22nd of May 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Oracle Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Oracle price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.56
Spearman Rank Test-0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance52.95

Oracle Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Oracle stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Oracle's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Oracle returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Oracle stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

Oracle regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Oracle stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Oracle stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Oracle stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Oracle Lagged Returns

When evaluating Oracle's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Oracle stock have on its future price. Oracle autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Oracle autocorrelation shows the relationship between Oracle stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Oracle Corp.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Oracle Investors Sentiment

The influence of Oracle's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Oracle. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Oracle Implied Volatility

    
  34.73  
Oracle's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Oracle Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Oracle's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Oracle stock will not fluctuate a lot when Oracle's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Oracle in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Oracle's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Oracle options trading.

Current Sentiment - ORCL

Oracle Corp Investor Sentiment

Majority of Macroaxis users are now bullish on Oracle Corp. What is your perspective on investing in Oracle Corp? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Please check Oracle Hype Analysis, Oracle Correlation, Oracle Valuation, Oracle Volatility, as well as analyze Oracle Alpha and Beta and Oracle Performance. Note that the Oracle Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oracle's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

Complementary Tools for Oracle Stock analysis

When running Oracle Corp price analysis, check to measure Oracle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oracle is operating at the current time. Most of Oracle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oracle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oracle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oracle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Oracle technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Oracle technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Oracle trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...