Sonae SGPS (Portugal) Market Value
| SON Stock | EUR 0.92 0.02 2.22% |
| Symbol | Sonae |
Sonae SGPS 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Sonae SGPS's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Sonae SGPS.
| 03/25/2024 |
| 04/24/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Sonae SGPS on March 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Sonae SGPS SA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Sonae SGPS over 30 days. Sonae SGPS is related to or competes with Banco Comercial, NOS SGPS, Navigator, Altri SGPS, and Galp Energia. Sonae, SGPS, S.A. engages in retail, financial services, technology, shopping center, and telecommunication businesses More
Sonae SGPS Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Sonae SGPS's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Sonae SGPS SA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 5.75 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.16) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.22 |
Sonae SGPS Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Sonae SGPS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Sonae SGPS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Sonae SGPS historical prices to predict the future Sonae SGPS's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0355 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0425 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.949 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sonae SGPS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sonae SGPS SA Backtested Returns
We consider Sonae SGPS risky. Sonae SGPS SA owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0365, which indicates the firm had a 0.0365% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Sonae SGPS SA, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Sonae SGPS's Semi Deviation of 0.7612, risk adjusted performance of 0.0355, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1989.08 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0419%. Sonae SGPS has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.0489, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Sonae SGPS's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Sonae SGPS is expected to be smaller as well. Sonae SGPS SA right now has a risk of 1.15%. Please validate Sonae SGPS expected short fall, day median price, and the relationship between the potential upside and accumulation distribution , to decide if Sonae SGPS will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.26 |
Weak reverse predictability
Sonae SGPS SA has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Sonae SGPS time series from 25th of March 2024 to 9th of April 2024 and 9th of April 2024 to 24th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Sonae SGPS SA price movement. The serial correlation of -0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Sonae SGPS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.26 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.37 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Sonae SGPS SA lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Sonae SGPS stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Sonae SGPS's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Sonae SGPS returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Sonae SGPS has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Sonae SGPS regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Sonae SGPS stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Sonae SGPS stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Sonae SGPS stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Sonae SGPS Lagged Returns
When evaluating Sonae SGPS's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Sonae SGPS stock have on its future price. Sonae SGPS autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Sonae SGPS autocorrelation shows the relationship between Sonae SGPS stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Sonae SGPS SA.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Sonae SGPS in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Sonae SGPS's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Sonae SGPS options trading.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Check out Sonae SGPS Correlation, Sonae SGPS Volatility and Sonae SGPS Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Sonae SGPS. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Complementary Tools for Sonae Stock analysis
When running Sonae SGPS's price analysis, check to measure Sonae SGPS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sonae SGPS is operating at the current time. Most of Sonae SGPS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sonae SGPS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sonae SGPS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sonae SGPS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Sonae SGPS technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.