Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Stock Market Value
TKGBY Stock | USD 1.86 0.01 0.53% |
Symbol | Turkiye |
Turkiye Garanti 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Turkiye Garanti's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Turkiye Garanti.
09/25/2022 |
| 03/18/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Turkiye Garanti on September 25, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Turkiye Garanti Bankasi or generate 0.0% return on investment in Turkiye Garanti over 540 days. Turkiye Garanti is related to or competes with ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank, Banco Bradesco, US Bancorp, Banco Do, Fifth Third, and BNP Paribas. Turkiye Garanti Bankasi A.S. provides various banking products and services More
Turkiye Garanti Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Turkiye Garanti's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Turkiye Garanti Bankasi upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 4.69 | |||
Information Ratio | (0.02) | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 19.06 | |||
Value At Risk | (7.69) | |||
Potential Upside | 6.32 |
Turkiye Garanti Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Turkiye Garanti's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Turkiye Garanti's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Turkiye Garanti historical prices to predict the future Turkiye Garanti's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0147 | |||
Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
Total Risk Alpha | (0.87) | |||
Sortino Ratio | (0.02) | |||
Treynor Ratio | 0.099 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Turkiye Garanti's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Turkiye Garanti in the context of predictive analytics.
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi Backtested Returns
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0147, which indicates the firm had -0.0147% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards measuring the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Turkiye Garanti Bankasi exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its stock price that cannot be diversified away. Please validate Turkiye Garanti's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0147, semi deviation of 4.11, and Coefficient Of Variation of 10185.8 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.32, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Turkiye Garanti returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Turkiye Garanti will be expected to be smaller as well. Turkiye Garanti Bankasi exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Turkiye Garanti Bankasi has an expected return of -0.0644%. Please make sure to validate Turkiye Garanti potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price to decide if Turkiye Garanti Bankasi performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.64 |
Good predictability
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Turkiye Garanti time series from 25th of September 2022 to 22nd of June 2023 and 22nd of June 2023 to 18th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Turkiye Garanti price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.64 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.31 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 0.07 |
Turkiye Garanti Bankasi lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Turkiye Garanti otc stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Turkiye Garanti's otc stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Turkiye Garanti returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Turkiye Garanti otc stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Turkiye Garanti regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Turkiye Garanti otc stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Turkiye Garanti otc stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Turkiye Garanti otc stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Turkiye Garanti Lagged Returns
When evaluating Turkiye Garanti's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Turkiye Garanti otc stock have on its future price. Turkiye Garanti autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Turkiye Garanti autocorrelation shows the relationship between Turkiye Garanti otc stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Turkiye Garanti Bankasi.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
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Check out Turkiye Garanti Correlation, Turkiye Garanti Volatility and Turkiye Garanti Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Turkiye Garanti. Note that the Turkiye Garanti Bankasi information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Turkiye Garanti's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for Turkiye OTC Stock analysis
When running Turkiye Garanti's price analysis, check to measure Turkiye Garanti's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Turkiye Garanti is operating at the current time. Most of Turkiye Garanti's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Turkiye Garanti's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Turkiye Garanti's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Turkiye Garanti to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Turkiye Garanti technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.