Motley Fool 100 Etf Market Value

TMFC Etf  USD 47.80  0.66  1.40%   
Motley Fool's market value is the price at which a share of Motley Fool trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Motley Fool 100 investors about its performance. Motley Fool is trading at 47.80 as of the 25th of April 2024, a 1.40 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 47.14.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Motley Fool 100 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Motley Fool over a given investment horizon. Check out Motley Fool Correlation, Motley Fool Volatility and Motley Fool Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Motley Fool.
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The market value of Motley Fool 100 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Motley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Motley Fool's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Motley Fool's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Motley Fool's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Motley Fool's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Motley Fool's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Motley Fool is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Motley Fool's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Motley Fool 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Motley Fool's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Motley Fool.
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03/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
04/25/2024
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If you would invest  0.00  in Motley Fool on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Motley Fool 100 or generate 0.0% return on investment in Motley Fool over 30 days. Motley Fool is related to or competes with IShares Small, Pacer Cash, GXO Logistics, and Amplify CWP. Under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of the funds total assets will be invested in the component securities o... More

Motley Fool Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Motley Fool's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Motley Fool 100 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Motley Fool Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Motley Fool's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Motley Fool's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Motley Fool historical prices to predict the future Motley Fool's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Motley Fool's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.7347.7448.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.7947.8048.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
45.9446.9547.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.9647.5848.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Motley Fool. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Motley Fool's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Motley Fool's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Motley Fool 100.

Motley Fool 100 Backtested Returns

We consider Motley Fool very steady. Motley Fool 100 has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0481, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0481% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Motley Fool, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please verify Motley Fool's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0427, mean deviation of 0.738, and Downside Deviation of 0.9067 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.048%. The etf secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.02, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Motley Fool returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Motley Fool is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.54  

Modest predictability

Motley Fool 100 has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Motley Fool time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Motley Fool 100 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.54 indicates that about 54.0% of current Motley Fool price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.54
Spearman Rank Test0.67
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.73

Motley Fool 100 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Motley Fool etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Motley Fool's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Motley Fool returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Motley Fool has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Motley Fool regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Motley Fool etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Motley Fool etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Motley Fool etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Motley Fool Lagged Returns

When evaluating Motley Fool's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Motley Fool etf have on its future price. Motley Fool autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Motley Fool autocorrelation shows the relationship between Motley Fool etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Motley Fool 100.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Motley Fool in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Motley Fool's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Motley Fool options trading.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Motley Fool 100 offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Motley Fool's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Motley Fool 100 Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Motley Fool 100 Etf:
Check out Motley Fool Correlation, Motley Fool Volatility and Motley Fool Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Motley Fool.
Note that the Motley Fool 100 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Motley Fool's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Motley Fool technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Motley Fool technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Motley Fool trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...