Tiaa Cref Smallmid Cap Equity Fund Market Value
| TSMMX Fund | USD 14.12 0.04 0.28% |
| Symbol | Tiaa |
Tiaa Cref 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tiaa Cref's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tiaa Cref.
| 09/26/2022 |
| 04/18/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Tiaa Cref on September 26, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tiaa Cref Smallmid Cap Equity or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tiaa Cref over 570 days. Tiaa Cref is related to or competes with Vanguard Small, Vanguard Small, and Fidelity Small. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in small-cap and mid-cap equity securitie... More
Tiaa Cref Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tiaa Cref's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tiaa Cref Smallmid Cap Equity upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0032 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 4.46 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.74) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.67 |
Tiaa Cref Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tiaa Cref's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tiaa Cref's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tiaa Cref historical prices to predict the future Tiaa Cref's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0393 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.03) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.003 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0327 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tiaa Cref's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tiaa Cref Smallmid Backtested Returns
We consider Tiaa Cref very steady. Tiaa Cref Smallmid owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0507, which indicates the fund had a 0.0507% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Tiaa Cref Smallmid Cap Equity, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Tiaa Cref's Coefficient Of Variation of 1787.36, risk adjusted performance of 0.0393, and Semi Deviation of 1.06 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0534%. The entity has a beta of 1.49, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Tiaa Cref will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | 0.05 |
Virtually no predictability
Tiaa Cref Smallmid Cap Equity has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tiaa Cref time series from 26th of September 2022 to 8th of July 2023 and 8th of July 2023 to 18th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tiaa Cref Smallmid price movement. The serial correlation of 0.05 indicates that only as little as 5.0% of current Tiaa Cref price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.05 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.17 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.89 |
Tiaa Cref Smallmid lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Tiaa Cref mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tiaa Cref's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tiaa Cref returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tiaa Cref has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Tiaa Cref regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tiaa Cref mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tiaa Cref mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tiaa Cref mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Tiaa Cref Lagged Returns
When evaluating Tiaa Cref's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tiaa Cref mutual fund have on its future price. Tiaa Cref autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tiaa Cref autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tiaa Cref mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tiaa Cref Smallmid Cap Equity.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Tiaa Cref in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Tiaa Cref's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Tiaa Cref options trading.
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Check out Tiaa Cref Correlation, Tiaa Cref Volatility and Tiaa Cref Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tiaa Cref. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Tiaa Cref technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.