Twitter Stock Market Value

TWTR -  USA Stock  

USD 38.29  1.00  2.68%

Twitter's market value is the price at which a share of Twitter stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Twitter investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Twitter and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Twitter over a given investment horizon. Additionally, take a look at Twitter Hype Analysis, Twitter Correlation, Twitter Valuation, Twitter Volatility, as well as analyze Twitter Alpha and Beta and Twitter Performance.
Symbol
Backtest


Is Twitter's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Twitter. If investors know Twitter will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Twitter listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Twitter is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Twitter that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Twitter's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Twitter's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Twitter's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Twitter's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Twitter's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Twitter value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Twitter's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Twitter 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Twitter's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Twitter.
0.00
05/26/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
05/21/2022
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Twitter on May 26, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Twitter or generate 0.0% return on investment in Twitter over 360 days. Twitter is related to or competes with Omnicom, News Cp, Sirius XM, Sohu Inc, Nielsen Holdings, JP Morgan, and 3M. Twitter, Inc. operates as a platform for public self-expression and conversation in real time

Twitter Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Twitter's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Twitter upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Twitter Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Twitter's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Twitter's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Twitter historical prices to predict the future Twitter's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Twitter's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Twitter in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
32.4337.1741.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
34.4646.2050.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
28.8333.5638.30
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
45.0068.3195.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Twitter. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Twitter's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Twitter's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Twitter.

Twitter Backtested Returns

Twitter owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.23, which indicates the firm had -0.23% of return per unit of risk over the last month. Macroaxis standpoint towards measuring the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Twitter exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to validate Twitter risk adjusted performance of (0.40), and Coefficient Of Variation of (417.16) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.
The entity has a beta of 0.0069, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Twitter's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Twitter returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Twitter will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Twitter current price movements, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical returns. Our philosophy towards measuring any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Twitter exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Twitter has an expected return of -0.83%. Please be advised to validate Twitter maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price to decide if Twitter performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.34  

Poor reverse predictability

Twitter has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Twitter time series from 26th of May 2021 to 22nd of November 2021 and 22nd of November 2021 to 21st of May 2022. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Twitter price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Twitter price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.34
Spearman Rank Test-0.1
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance28.55

Twitter lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Twitter stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Twitter's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Twitter returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Twitter stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

Twitter regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Twitter stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Twitter stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Twitter stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Twitter Lagged Returns

When evaluating Twitter's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Twitter stock have on its future price. Twitter autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Twitter autocorrelation shows the relationship between Twitter stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Twitter.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Twitter Investors Sentiment

The influence of Twitter's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Twitter. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Twitter Implied Volatility

    
  80.2  
Twitter's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Twitter stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Twitter's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Twitter stock will not fluctuate a lot when Twitter's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Twitter in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Twitter's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Twitter options trading.

Current Sentiment - TWTR

Twitter Investor Sentiment

Majority of Macroaxis users are at this time bullish on Twitter. What is your outlook on investing in Twitter? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additionally, take a look at Twitter Hype Analysis, Twitter Correlation, Twitter Valuation, Twitter Volatility, as well as analyze Twitter Alpha and Beta and Twitter Performance. Note that the Twitter information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Twitter's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

Complementary Tools for Twitter Stock analysis

When running Twitter price analysis, check to measure Twitter's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Twitter is operating at the current time. Most of Twitter's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Twitter's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Twitter's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Twitter to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Twitter technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Twitter technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Twitter trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...