Travelzoo Stock Market Value
| TZOO Stock | USD 8.62 0.08 0.92% |
| Symbol | Travelzoo |
Travelzoo Price To Book Ratio
Is Travelzoo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Travelzoo. If investors know Travelzoo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Travelzoo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.349 | Earnings Share 0.88 | Revenue Per Share 5.916 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.018 | Return On Assets 0.17 |
The market value of Travelzoo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Travelzoo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Travelzoo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Travelzoo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Travelzoo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Travelzoo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Travelzoo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Travelzoo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Travelzoo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Travelzoo 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Travelzoo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Travelzoo.
| 03/10/2024 |
| 05/09/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Travelzoo on March 10, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Travelzoo or generate 0.0% return on investment in Travelzoo over 60 days. Travelzoo is related to or competes with Ziff Davis, and Entravision Communications. Travelzoo, an Internet media company, provides travel, entertainment, and local deals from travel and entertainment comp... More
Travelzoo Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Travelzoo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Travelzoo upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0218 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 15.24 | |||
| Value At Risk | (6.24) | |||
| Potential Upside | 6.15 |
Travelzoo Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Travelzoo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Travelzoo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Travelzoo historical prices to predict the future Travelzoo's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0372 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1232 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.29) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0199 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.3835 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Travelzoo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Travelzoo Backtested Returns
We consider Travelzoo somewhat reliable. Travelzoo owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0478, which indicates the firm had a 0.0478% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Travelzoo, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please validate Travelzoo's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0372, semi deviation of 3.7, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2141.5 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.17%. Travelzoo has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 0.4, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Travelzoo's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Travelzoo is expected to be smaller as well. Travelzoo right now has a risk of 3.49%. Please validate Travelzoo total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and rate of daily change , to decide if Travelzoo will be following its existing price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.34 |
Poor reverse predictability
Travelzoo has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Travelzoo time series from 10th of March 2024 to 9th of April 2024 and 9th of April 2024 to 9th of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Travelzoo price movement. The serial correlation of -0.34 indicates that nearly 34.0% of current Travelzoo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.34 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.23 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.17 |
Travelzoo lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Travelzoo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Travelzoo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Travelzoo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Travelzoo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Travelzoo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Travelzoo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Travelzoo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Travelzoo stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Travelzoo Lagged Returns
When evaluating Travelzoo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Travelzoo stock have on its future price. Travelzoo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Travelzoo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Travelzoo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Travelzoo.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Travelzoo in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Travelzoo's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Travelzoo options trading.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Travelzoo offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Travelzoo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Travelzoo Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Travelzoo Stock:Check out Travelzoo Correlation, Travelzoo Volatility and Travelzoo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Travelzoo. To learn how to invest in Travelzoo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Travelzoo guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Complementary Tools for Travelzoo Stock analysis
When running Travelzoo's price analysis, check to measure Travelzoo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Travelzoo is operating at the current time. Most of Travelzoo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Travelzoo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Travelzoo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Travelzoo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Travelzoo technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.