United Community Banks Stock Market Value
| UCBI Stock | USD 24.90 0.12 0.48% |
| Symbol | United |
United Community Banks Price To Book Ratio
Is United Community's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Community. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Community listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.86) | Dividend Share 0.92 | Earnings Share 1.54 | Revenue Per Share 6.835 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.26) |
The market value of United Community Banks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Community's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Community's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Community's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Community's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Community's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Community is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Community's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
United Community 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to United Community's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of United Community.
| 04/27/2022 |
| 04/16/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in United Community on April 27, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding United Community Banks or generate 0.0% return on investment in United Community over 720 days. United Community is related to or competes with Home Bancorp, and Northfield Bancorp. United Community Banks, Inc. operates as the financial holding company for United Community Bank that provides financial... More
United Community Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure United Community's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess United Community Banks upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.14) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.91) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.8 |
United Community Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for United Community's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as United Community's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use United Community historical prices to predict the future United Community's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.35) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.45) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.12) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Community's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United Community Banks Backtested Returns
United Community Banks owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0707, which indicates the firm had a -0.0707% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. United Community Banks exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate United Community's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06), coefficient of variation of (940.56), and Variance of 4.11 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 1.84, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, United Community will likely underperform. United Community Banks has an expected return of -0.15%. Please make sure to validate United Community maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and day typical price , to decide if United Community Banks performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.06 |
Virtually no predictability
United Community Banks has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between United Community time series from 27th of April 2022 to 22nd of April 2023 and 22nd of April 2023 to 16th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of United Community Banks price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current United Community price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.06 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.13 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 4.88 |
United Community Banks lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is United Community stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting United Community's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of United Community returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that United Community has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
United Community regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If United Community stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if United Community stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in United Community stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
United Community Lagged Returns
When evaluating United Community's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of United Community stock have on its future price. United Community autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, United Community autocorrelation shows the relationship between United Community stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in United Community Banks.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
United Community Investors Sentiment
The influence of United Community's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in United. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to United Community's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in United. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding United can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around United Community Banks. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
United Community's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for United Community's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average United Community's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on United Community.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards United Community in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, United Community's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from United Community options trading.
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Check out United Community Correlation, United Community Volatility and United Community Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on United Community. Note that the United Community Banks information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other United Community's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
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When running United Community's price analysis, check to measure United Community's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Community is operating at the current time. Most of United Community's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Community's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Community's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Community to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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United Community technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.