Unitedhealth Stock Market Value

UNH -  USA Stock  

USD 452.00  12.09  2.75%

Unitedhealth's market value is the price at which a share of Unitedhealth stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Unitedhealth Group investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Unitedhealth Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Unitedhealth over a given investment horizon. Also, please take a look at Unitedhealth Hype Analysis, Unitedhealth Correlation, Unitedhealth Valuation, Unitedhealth Volatility, as well as analyze Unitedhealth Alpha and Beta and Unitedhealth Performance.
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Is Unitedhealth's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Unitedhealth. If investors know Unitedhealth will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Unitedhealth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Unitedhealth Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Unitedhealth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Unitedhealth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Unitedhealth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Unitedhealth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Unitedhealth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Unitedhealth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Unitedhealth value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Unitedhealth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Unitedhealth 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Unitedhealth's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Unitedhealth.
0.00
01/03/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 10 months and 27 days
11/29/2021
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Unitedhealth on January 3, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Unitedhealth Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Unitedhealth over 330 days. Unitedhealth is related to or competes with Select Medical, Tenet Healthcare, Universal Health, Brickell Biotech, Agilent Technologies, Becton Dickinson, and Bausch Health. UnitedHealth Group Incorporated operates as a diversified health care company in the United States

Unitedhealth Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Unitedhealth's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Unitedhealth Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Unitedhealth Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Unitedhealth's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Unitedhealth's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Unitedhealth historical prices to predict the future Unitedhealth's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Unitedhealth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Unitedhealth in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
447.98449.31450.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
404.52467.85469.18
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
435.00480.67522.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (11)
LowProjected EPSHigh
18.6018.7418.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Unitedhealth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Unitedhealth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Unitedhealth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Unitedhealth Group.

Unitedhealth Group Backtested Returns

We consider Unitedhealth very steady. Unitedhealth Group owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.1, which indicates the firm had 0.1% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards measuring the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Unitedhealth Group, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the company. Please validate Unitedhealth Coefficient Of Variation of 1519.45, risk adjusted performance of 0.0533, and Semi Deviation of 0.9957 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.14%.
Unitedhealth has performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The entity has a beta of 1.1751, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Unitedhealth's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Unitedhealth will likely underperform. Although it is extremely important to respect Unitedhealth Group current price movements, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity historical returns. The philosophy towards measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting Unitedhealth Group technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.14% will be sustainable into the future. Unitedhealth Group right now has a risk of 1.33%. Please validate Unitedhealth semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power to decide if Unitedhealth will be following its existing price patterns.
AdviceVolatility TrendExposureCorrelations

Auto-correlation

    
   0.55   

Modest predictability

Unitedhealth Group has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Unitedhealth time series from 3rd of January 2021 to 17th of June 2021 and 17th of June 2021 to 29th of November 2021. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Unitedhealth Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Unitedhealth price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.57
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance393.82

Unitedhealth Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Unitedhealth stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Unitedhealth's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Unitedhealth returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Unitedhealth stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

Unitedhealth regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Unitedhealth stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Unitedhealth stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Unitedhealth stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Unitedhealth Lagged Returns

When evaluating Unitedhealth's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Unitedhealth stock have on its future price. Unitedhealth autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Unitedhealth autocorrelation shows the relationship between Unitedhealth stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Unitedhealth Group.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Unitedhealth without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Also, please take a look at Unitedhealth Hype Analysis, Unitedhealth Correlation, Unitedhealth Valuation, Unitedhealth Volatility, as well as analyze Unitedhealth Alpha and Beta and Unitedhealth Performance. Note that the Unitedhealth Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Unitedhealth's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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Unitedhealth technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Unitedhealth technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Unitedhealth trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...