Urban Stock Market Value

UONEK -  USA Stock  

USD 6.40  0.30  4.92%

Urban One's market value is the price at which a share of Urban One stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Urban One investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Urban One and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Urban One over a given investment horizon. Also, please take a look at Urban One Hype Analysis, Urban One Correlation, Urban One Valuation, Urban One Volatility, as well as analyze Urban One Alpha and Beta and Urban One Performance.
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The market value of Urban One is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Urban that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Urban One's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Urban One's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Urban One's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Urban One underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Urban One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Urban One value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Urban One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Urban One 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Urban One's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Urban One.
0.00
09/29/2019
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
09/18/2021
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Urban One on September 29, 2019 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Urban One or generate 0.0% return on investment in Urban One over 720 days. Urban One is related to or competes with Sirius XM, and Liberty Media. Urban One, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an urban-oriented multi-media company in the United States

Urban One Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Urban One's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Urban One upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Urban One Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Urban One's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Urban One's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Urban One historical prices to predict the future Urban One's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Urban One's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Urban One in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
2.066.0410.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.955.939.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Urban One. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Urban One's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Urban One's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Urban One.

Urban One Backtested Returns

Urban One appears to be moderately volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Urban One owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.11, which indicates the firm had 0.11% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards measuring the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Urban One, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the company. Please review Urban One's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0538, semi deviation of 3.44, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1519.91 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
On a scale of 0 to 100, Urban One holds a performance score of 8. The entity has a beta of 2.3358, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Urban's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Urban One will likely underperform. Although it is vital to follow Urban One current price movements, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity historical returns. The philosophy towards measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting Urban One technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.44% will be sustainable into the future. Please operates Urban One treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and downside variance to make a quick decision on whether Urban One existing price patterns will revert.
AdviceVolatility TrendExposureCorrelations

Auto-correlation

    
  (0.28)   

Weak reverse predictability

Urban One has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Urban One time series from 29th of September 2019 to 23rd of September 2020 and 23rd of September 2020 to 18th of September 2021. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Urban One price movement. The serial correlation of -0.28 indicates that nearly 28.0% of current Urban One price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices. Given that Urban One has negative autocorrelation for selected time horizon, investors may consider taking a contrarian position regarding future price movement of Urban One for similar time interval.
Correlation Coefficient-0.28
Spearman Rank Test-0.6
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.66

Urban One lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Urban One stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Urban One's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Urban One returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Urban One stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

Urban One regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Urban One stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Urban One stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Urban One stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Urban One Lagged Returns

When evaluating Urban One's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Urban One stock have on its future price. Urban One autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Urban One autocorrelation shows the relationship between Urban One stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Urban One.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Urban One without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Performance Analysis

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Also, please take a look at Urban One Hype Analysis, Urban One Correlation, Urban One Valuation, Urban One Volatility, as well as analyze Urban One Alpha and Beta and Urban One Performance. Note that the Urban One information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Urban One's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Commodity Channel Index module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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When running Urban One price analysis, check to measure Urban One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Urban One is operating at the current time. Most of Urban One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Urban One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Urban One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Urban One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Urban One technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Urban One technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Urban One trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...