Jpmorgan Small Cap Fund Market Value

VSSBX Fund  USD 36.45  0.25  0.68%   
Jpmorgan Small's market value is the price at which a share of Jpmorgan Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jpmorgan Small Cap investors about its performance. Jpmorgan Small is trading at 36.45 as of the 18th of April 2024; that is -0.68% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 36.7.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jpmorgan Small Cap and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jpmorgan Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Jpmorgan Small Correlation, Jpmorgan Small Volatility and Jpmorgan Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jpmorgan Small.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Jpmorgan Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jpmorgan Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jpmorgan Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jpmorgan Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jpmorgan Small's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jpmorgan Small.
0.00
03/19/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
04/18/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jpmorgan Small on March 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jpmorgan Small Cap or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jpmorgan Small over 30 days. Jpmorgan Small is related to or competes with Lord Abbett, Highland Longshort, Hartford Healthcare, Virtus Allianzgi, and Delaware Healthcare. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in equity securities of small cap compani... More

Jpmorgan Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jpmorgan Small's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jpmorgan Small Cap upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jpmorgan Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jpmorgan Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jpmorgan Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jpmorgan Small historical prices to predict the future Jpmorgan Small's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.001.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.0935.2836.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.5038.1639.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jpmorgan Small. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jpmorgan Small's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jpmorgan Small's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jpmorgan Small Cap.

Jpmorgan Small Cap Backtested Returns

Jpmorgan Small Cap holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0068, which attests that the entity had a -0.0068% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Jpmorgan Small Cap exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Jpmorgan Small's Risk Adjusted Performance of 4.0E-4, standard deviation of 1.19, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.20) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.088, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Jpmorgan Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Jpmorgan Small is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.26  

Weak reverse predictability

Jpmorgan Small Cap has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jpmorgan Small time series from 19th of March 2024 to 3rd of April 2024 and 3rd of April 2024 to 18th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jpmorgan Small Cap price movement. The serial correlation of -0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Jpmorgan Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.26
Spearman Rank Test0.05
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.67

Jpmorgan Small Cap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jpmorgan Small mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jpmorgan Small's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jpmorgan Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jpmorgan Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jpmorgan Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jpmorgan Small mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jpmorgan Small mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jpmorgan Small mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jpmorgan Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jpmorgan Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jpmorgan Small mutual fund have on its future price. Jpmorgan Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jpmorgan Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jpmorgan Small mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jpmorgan Small Cap.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Jpmorgan Small Correlation, Jpmorgan Small Volatility and Jpmorgan Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jpmorgan Small.
Note that the Jpmorgan Small Cap information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Jpmorgan Small's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Jpmorgan Small technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Jpmorgan Small technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Jpmorgan Small trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...