Vital Stock Market Value

VUX Stock

CAD 0.34 0.05 17.24%

Vital Energy's market value is the price at which a share of Vital Energy stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Vital Energy investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Vital Energy and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Vital Energy over a given investment horizon. Check out Vital Energy Correlation, Vital Energy Volatility and Vital Energy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vital Energy. For more information on how to buy Vital Stock please use our How to Invest in Vital Energy guide.

Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vital Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Vital Energy value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vital Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vital Energy 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vital Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vital Energy.

0.00

02/27/2023

No Change 0.00

0.0

In 31 days

03/29/2023

0.00

If you would invest 0.00 in Vital Energy on February 27, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vital Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vital Energy over 30 days. Vital Energy is related to or competes with Africa Oil, ARC Resources, Cardinal Energy, and Canacol Energy. Vital Energy Inc., a junior oil and gas company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of crude oil a... More

Vital Energy Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vital Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vital Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

	Downside Deviation	7.95
	Information Ratio	0.0238
	Maximum Drawdown	44.07
	Value At Risk	(9.68)
	Potential Upside	12.9

Vital Energy Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vital Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vital Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vital Energy historical prices to predict the future Vital Energy's volatility.

	Risk Adjusted Performance	0.028
	Jensen Alpha	0.1426
	Total Risk Alpha	0.3768
	Sortino Ratio	0.0209
	Treynor Ratio	0.4777

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vital Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vital Energy in the context of predictive analytics.

Hype

Prediction

Low	Estimated Value	High
0.02	0.34	7.49

Details

Intrinsic

Valuation

Low	Real Value	High
0.01	0.28	7.43

Details

Naive

Forecast

Low	Next Value	High
0.007351	0.37	7.51

Details

Bollinger

Band Projection (param)

Lower	Middle Band	Upper
0.24	0.30	0.36

Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vital Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vital Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vital Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vital Energy.

Vital Energy Backtested Returns

Vital Energy appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Vital Energy owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0474, which indicates the firm had 0.0474% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards measuring the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Vital Energy, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the company. Please review Vital Energy's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.028, semi deviation of 4.76, and Coefficient Of Variation of 4869.73 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.

On a scale of 0 to 100, Vital Energy holds a performance score of 3. The entity has a beta of 0.2793, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Vital's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Vital Energy returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vital Energy will be expected to be smaller as well. Although it is vital to follow Vital Energy current price movements, it is good to be conservative about what you can do with the information regarding equity historical returns. The philosophy towards measuring future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By inspecting Vital Energy technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.34% will be sustainable into the future. Please operates Vital Energy jensen alpha and downside variance to make a quick decision on whether Vital Energy existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

-0.47

Modest reverse predictability

Vital Energy has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vital Energy time series from 27th of February 2023 to 14th of March 2023 and 14th of March 2023 to 29th of March 2023. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vital Energy price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Vital Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.

	Correlation Coefficient	-0.47
	Spearman Rank Test	-0.56
	Residual Average	0.0
	Price Variance	0.0

Vital Energy lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Vital Energy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vital Energy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vital Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vital Energy stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.

Current and Lagged Values

Timeline

Vital Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vital Energy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vital Energy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vital Energy stock over time.

Current vs Lagged Prices

Timeline

Vital Energy Lagged Returns

When evaluating Vital Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vital Energy stock have on its future price. Vital Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vital Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vital Energy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vital Energy.

Regressed Prices

Timeline

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Vital Energy without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Check out Vital Energy Correlation, Vital Energy Volatility and Vital Energy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vital Energy. For more information on how to buy Vital Stock please use our How to Invest in Vital Energy guide. You can also try Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running Vital Energy price analysis, check to measure Vital Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vital Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vital Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vital Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vital Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vital Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Vital Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.

Volatility Indicators

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Value Movement

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A focus of Vital Energy technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Vital Energy trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

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Vital Stock Market Value

Vital Energy 'What if' Analysis

Vital Energy Upside/Downside Indicators

Vital Energy Market Risk Indicators

Vital Energy Backtested Returns

Auto-correlation

Modest reverse predictability

Vital Energy lagged returns against current returns

Vital Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Vital Energy Lagged Returns

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