Exxon Stock Market Value

XOM -  USA Stock  

USD 63.61  2.02  3.28%

Exxon's market value is the price at which a share of Exxon stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Exxon Mobil Corp investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Exxon Mobil Corp and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Exxon over a given investment horizon. Check out Exxon Hype Analysis, Exxon Correlation, Exxon Valuation, Exxon Volatility, as well as analyze Exxon Alpha and Beta and Exxon Performance.
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Is Exxon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Exxon. If investors know Exxon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Exxon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Exxon Mobil Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exxon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exxon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exxon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exxon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exxon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Exxon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Exxon value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Exxon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Exxon 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Exxon's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Exxon.
0.00
10/31/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2021
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Exxon on October 31, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Exxon Mobil Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Exxon over 30 days. Exxon is related to or competes with Whiting Petroleum, Southwestern Energy, Occidental Petroleum, Pioneer Natural, Sm Energy, Range Resources, and Western Midstream. Exxon Mobil Corporation explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas in the United States and internationally

Exxon Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Exxon's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Exxon Mobil Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Exxon Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Exxon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Exxon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Exxon historical prices to predict the future Exxon's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exxon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Exxon in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
61.5463.2965.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
57.2569.4571.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
59.5261.2663.01
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
48.0066.5395.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Exxon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Exxon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Exxon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Exxon Mobil Corp.

Exxon Mobil Corp Backtested Returns

We consider Exxon very steady. Exxon Mobil Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0177, which denotes the company had 0.0177% of return per unit of risk over the last 24 months. Our standpoint towards predicting the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Exxon Mobil Corp, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please confirm Exxon Mobil Corp Coefficient Of Variation of 6865.44, mean deviation of 1.9, and Downside Deviation of 2.51 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0479%.
Exxon has performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.1155, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Exxon's beta means in this case. Exxon returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Exxon is expected to follow. Although it is extremely important to respect Exxon Mobil Corp historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards predicting future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By reviewing Exxon Mobil Corp technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0479% will be sustainable into the future. Exxon Mobil Corp right now shows a risk of 2.71%. Please confirm Exxon Mobil Corp maximum drawdown, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and price action indicator to decide if Exxon Mobil Corp will be following its price patterns.
AdviceVolatility TrendExposureCorrelations

Auto-correlation

    
  (0.19)   

Insignificant reverse predictability

Exxon Mobil Corp has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Exxon time series from 31st of October 2021 to 15th of November 2021 and 15th of November 2021 to 30th of November 2021. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Exxon Mobil Corp price movement. The serial correlation of -0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current Exxon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices. Given that Exxon Mobil Corp has negative autocorrelation for selected time horizon, investors may consider taking a contrarian position regarding future price movement of Exxon for similar time interval.
Correlation Coefficient-0.19
Spearman Rank Test0.13
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.94

Exxon Mobil Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Exxon stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Exxon's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Exxon returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Exxon stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

Exxon regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Exxon stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Exxon stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Exxon stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Exxon Lagged Returns

When evaluating Exxon's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Exxon stock have on its future price. Exxon autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Exxon autocorrelation shows the relationship between Exxon stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Exxon Mobil Corp.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Exxon Investors Sentiment

The influence of Exxon's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Exxon. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Exxon Implied Volatility

    
  38.62  
Exxon's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Exxon Mobil Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Exxon's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Exxon stock will not fluctuate a lot when Exxon's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Exxon in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Exxon's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Exxon options trading.

Current Sentiment - XOM

Exxon Mobil Corp Investor Sentiment

Predominant part of Macroaxis users are at this time bullish on Exxon Mobil Corp. What is your opinion about investing in Exxon Mobil Corp? Are you bullish or bearish?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Check out Exxon Hype Analysis, Exxon Correlation, Exxon Valuation, Exxon Volatility, as well as analyze Exxon Alpha and Beta and Exxon Performance. Note that the Exxon Mobil Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Exxon's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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When running Exxon Mobil Corp price analysis, check to measure Exxon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exxon is operating at the current time. Most of Exxon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exxon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exxon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exxon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Exxon technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Exxon technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Exxon trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...