Blue Bird Corp Stock Performance

BLBD Stock  USD 33.62  0.60  1.75%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Blue Bird holds a performance score of 12. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.29, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Blue Bird will likely underperform. Please check Blue Bird's sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether Blue Bird's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Blue Bird Corp are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather abnormal fundamental drivers, Blue Bird exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.75)
Five Day Return
(7.02)
Year To Date Return
27.78
Ten Year Return
246.6
All Time Return
249.48
1
Blue Bird Price Target Raised to 35.00
02/12/2024
2
Disposition of 3504 shares by Razvan Radulescu of Blue Bird at 12.35 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/22/2024
3
Epoch Investment Partners Inc. Acquires 389,459 Shares of Blue Bird Co.
02/26/2024
4
Blue Bird Receives New Coverage from Analysts at Needham Company LLC
02/29/2024
5
7 Must-Buy Stocks for a Diversified High-Growth Portfolio
03/01/2024
6
Insider Sell President Britton Smith Sells 6,228 Shares of Blue Bird Corp
03/04/2024
7
Disposition of 3285 shares by Razvan Radulescu of Blue Bird at 30.08 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/12/2024
8
Graham Capital Management L.P. Decreases Holdings in Blue Bird Co. - Defense World
03/19/2024
9
7 EV Stocks That Could Be Multibaggers in the Making March Edition
03/26/2024
10
Acquisition by Douglas Grimm of 1954 shares of Blue Bird subject to Rule 16b-3
04/01/2024
11
Deroy Devereaux Private Investment Counsel Inc. Acquires 101482 Shares of Blue Bird Co. - MarketBeat
04/12/2024
12
Blue Bird Co. Given Consensus Rating of Buy by Brokerages - Defense World
04/18/2024
Begin Period Cash Flow10.5 M
  

Blue Bird Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,641  in Blue Bird Corp on January 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  721.00  from holding Blue Bird Corp or generate 27.3% return on investment over 90 days. Blue Bird Corp is currently generating 0.418% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.6363% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than Blue, and 92% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blue Bird is expected to generate 4.24 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.24 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.

Blue Bird Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Blue Bird's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Blue Bird Corp, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Blue Bird's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1585

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Estimated Market Risk

 2.64
  actual daily
23
77% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.42
  actual daily
8
92% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.16
  actual daily
12
88% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Blue Bird is performing at about 12% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Blue Bird by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Blue Bird Fundamentals Growth

Blue Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Blue Bird, and Blue Bird fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Blue Stock performance.

About Blue Bird Performance

To evaluate Blue Bird Corp Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Blue Bird generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Blue Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Blue Bird Corp market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Blue's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 44.71  31.45 
Return On Tangible Assets(11.08)(10.53)
Return On Capital Employed(155.24)(147.48)
Return On Assets(11.08)(10.53)
Return On Equity(154.28)(146.57)

Things to note about Blue Bird Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blue Bird for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Blue Bird Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Blue Bird Co. Given Consensus Rating of Buy by Brokerages - Defense World
Evaluating Blue Bird's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Blue Bird's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Blue Bird's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Blue Bird's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Blue Bird's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Blue Bird's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Blue Bird's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Blue Bird's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Blue Bird's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Blue Bird's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Blue Bird's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Blue Bird Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Blue Bird's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Blue Bird's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Blue Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Blue Bird Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Note that the Blue Bird Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Blue Bird's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

Complementary Tools for Blue Stock analysis

When running Blue Bird's price analysis, check to measure Blue Bird's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Bird is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Bird's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Bird's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Bird's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Bird to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Blue Bird's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blue Bird. If investors know Blue will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blue Bird listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.351
Earnings Share
1.9
Revenue Per Share
37.832
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.348
Return On Assets
0.1571
The market value of Blue Bird Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blue that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blue Bird's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blue Bird's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blue Bird's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blue Bird's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blue Bird's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blue Bird is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blue Bird's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.