Duck Creek Stock Performance

DCT -  USA Stock  

USD 17.29  0.47  2.79%

The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.1452, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Duck Creek's beta means in this case. Duck Creek returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Duck Creek is expected to follow. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Duck Creek Technologies historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy in predicting any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Duck Creek Technologies exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Duck Creek Technologies has an expected return of -0.47%. Please be advised to confirm Duck Creek Technologies standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Duck Creek Technologies performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
  
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Duck Creek Performance
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Over the last 90 days Duck Creek Technologies has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in June 2022. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more

Duck Creek Price Channel

Quick Ratio4.98
Fifty Two Week Low14.90
Target High Price55.00
Fifty Two Week High50.90
Target Low Price41.00

Duck Creek Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,366  in Duck Creek Technologies on February 16, 2022 and sell it today you would lose (684.00)  from holding Duck Creek Technologies or give up 28.91% of portfolio value over 90 days. Duck Creek Technologies is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.9545% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 34% of stocks are less volatile than Duck Creek, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
 Daily Expected Return (%) 
      Risk (%) 
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Duck Creek is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.03 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.12 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly -0.09 per unit of volatility.

Duck Creek Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Duck Creek's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Duck Creek Technologies, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Duck Creek's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1189

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Negative ReturnsDCT
Estimated Market Risk
 3.95
  actual daily
 
 34 %
of total potential
 
3434
Expected Return
 -0.47
  actual daily
 
 0 %
of total potential
 
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Risk-Adjusted Return
 -0.12
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 0 %
of total potential
 
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Based on monthly moving average Duck Creek is performing at about 0% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Duck Creek by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Duck Creek Performance

To evaluate Duck Creek Technologies Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Duck Creek generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Duck Creek Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Duck Creek Technologies stock market performance in a much more refined way. At Macroaxis, we take it even further. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Duck Creek's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2022
Return on Investment 3.12  2.51 
Return on Average Assets(0.023) (0.0248) 
Return on Average Equity(0.0264) (0.0285) 
Return on Invested Capital(0.07) (0.07) 
Return on Sales(0.07) (0.07) 
Duck Creek Technologies, Inc. provides software-as-a-service core systems to the property and casualty insurance industry in the United States and internationally. Duck Creek Technologies, Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts. Duck Creek operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1653 people.

Things to note about Duck Creek Technologies

Checking the ongoing alerts about Duck Creek for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Duck Creek Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Duck Creek Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Duck Creek generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Duck Creek has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Duck Creek is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 260.35 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (16.93 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 150.26 M.
Duck Creek Technologies has about 377.64 M in cash with (8.69 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.86.
Duck Creek has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Keysight Secures PTCRB Approval for 5G NR Test Case - Nasdaq
Continue to Investing Opportunities. Note that the Duck Creek Technologies information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Duck Creek's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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When running Duck Creek Technologies price analysis, check to measure Duck Creek's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Duck Creek is operating at the current time. Most of Duck Creek's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Duck Creek's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Duck Creek's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Duck Creek to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Duck Creek's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duck Creek. If investors know Duck Creek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Duck Creek listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Duck Creek Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Duck Creek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Duck Creek's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Duck Creek's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Duck Creek's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Duck Creek's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Duck Creek's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Duck Creek value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Duck Creek's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.