Dreyfus New Jersey Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

DNMIX Fund  USD 11.68  0.01  0.09%   
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.003, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Dreyfus New are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Dreyfus New is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Dreyfus New Jersey has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Dreyfus New is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio0.5700
  

Dreyfus New Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,169  in Dreyfus New Jersey on January 19, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Dreyfus New Jersey or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Dreyfus New Jersey is currently producing 2.0E-4% returns and takes up 0.1927% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Dreyfus, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dreyfus New is expected to generate 316.0 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 3.2 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Dreyfus New Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
11.68
Please note that Dreyfus New's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Dreyfus New Jersey shows a prevailing Real Value of $12.77 per share. The current price of the fund is $11.68. We determine the value of Dreyfus New Jersey from reviewing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we advise acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Our valuation method for Dreyfus New Jersey is useful when determining the fair value of the Dreyfus mutual fund, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Dreyfus New. Since Dreyfus New is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Dreyfus Mutual Fund. However, Dreyfus New's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.68 Real  12.77 Hype  11.69 Naive  11.73
The real value of Dreyfus Mutual Fund, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Dreyfus New Jersey Mutual Fund, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Dreyfus New's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Dreyfus New's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Dreyfus New's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
12.77
Real Value
12.96
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Dreyfus New Jersey helps investors to forecast how Dreyfus mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Dreyfus New more accurately as focusing exclusively on Dreyfus New's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.6511.7511.84
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5011.6911.88
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.060.060.06
Details

Dreyfus New Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dreyfus New's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Dreyfus New Jersey, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Dreyfus New's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 9.0E-4

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.19
  actual daily
1
99% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

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  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.0
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0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Dreyfus New is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Dreyfus New by adding Dreyfus New to a well-diversified portfolio.

Dreyfus New Fundamentals Growth

Dreyfus Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Dreyfus New, and Dreyfus New fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Dreyfus Mutual Fund performance.
Total Asset339.73 M

About Dreyfus New Performance

To evaluate Dreyfus New Jersey Mutual Fund as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Dreyfus New generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Dreyfus Mutual Fund's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Dreyfus New Jersey market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Dreyfus's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
To pursue its goal, the fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for investment purposes, in municipal bonds that provide income exempt from federal and New Jersey state income taxes. It invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in municipal bonds rated, at the time of purchase, investment grade or the unrated equivalent as determined by the adviser. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Dreyfus New Jersey performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dreyfus New for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Dreyfus New Jersey help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated three year return of -1.0%
Dreyfus New Jersey retains most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments.
Evaluating Dreyfus New's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Dreyfus New's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Dreyfus New's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Dreyfus New's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Dreyfus New's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Dreyfus New's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Dreyfus New's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Dreyfus New's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Dreyfus New's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Dreyfus New's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Dreyfus New's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Dreyfus New Jersey. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dreyfus New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dreyfus New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dreyfus New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.