Duolingo Stock Performance

DUOL Stock  USD 205.06  10.40  5.34%   
Duolingo has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.9, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Duolingo will likely underperform. Duolingo right now shows a risk of 3.9%. Please confirm Duolingo semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Duolingo will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Duolingo are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite conflicting basic indicators, Duolingo may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
5.34
Five Day Return
(3.73)
Year To Date Return
(4.33)
Ten Year Return
47.51
All Time Return
47.51
1
Disposition of 1043 shares by Robert Meese of Duolingo subject to Rule 16b-3
02/15/2024
2
Sale by Matthew Skaruppa of 2698 shares of Duolingo
02/22/2024
3
Decoding Duolingo Inc A Strategic SWOT Insight
03/01/2024
4
Q1 2024 EPS Estimates for Duolingo, Inc. Raised by Analyst
03/06/2024
5
Disposition of 10000 shares by Severin Hacker of Duolingo subject to Rule 16b-3
03/15/2024
6
Disposition of 1200 shares by Von Ahn Luis of Duolingo at 217.3475 subject to Rule 16b-3
03/22/2024
7
CHURCHILL MANAGEMENT Corp Makes New Investment in Duolingo, Inc. - Defense World
03/25/2024
8
Mastercard Scales Click to Pay to Prevent Payment Fraud
03/28/2024
9
Insider Sell President CEO, Co-Founder, 10 percent Owner Ahn Von Sells 12,000 Shares of ...
04/03/2024
10
Heres Why You Should Invest in Duolingo Stock Now
04/04/2024
11
Disposition of 1500 shares by Natalie Glance of Duolingo at 215.35 subject to Rule 16b-3
04/08/2024
12
Duolingo to Announce First Quarter 2024 Results on Wednesday, May 8, 2024
04/10/2024
13
Here is What to Know Beyond Why Duolingo, Inc. is a Trending Stock
04/11/2024
14
3 Nasdaq Stocks to Buy Now Q2 Edition
04/15/2024
15
Why Is Duolingo Stock Soaring Today
04/18/2024
Begin Period Cash Flow608.2 M
  

Duolingo Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  19,664  in Duolingo on January 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  842.00  from holding Duolingo or generate 4.28% return on investment over 90 days. Duolingo is currently generating 0.1367% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.8997% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 34% of stocks are less volatile than Duolingo, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Duolingo is expected to generate 6.28 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.28 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.

Duolingo Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Duolingo's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Duolingo, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Duolingo's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0351

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Estimated Market Risk

 3.9
  actual daily
34
66% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.14
  actual daily
2
98% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.04
  actual daily
2
98% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Duolingo is performing at about 2% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Duolingo by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Duolingo Fundamentals Growth

Duolingo Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Duolingo, and Duolingo fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Duolingo Stock performance.

About Duolingo Performance

To evaluate Duolingo Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Duolingo generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Duolingo Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Duolingo market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Duolingo's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 115.77  121.56 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.02  0.04 

Things to note about Duolingo performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Duolingo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Duolingo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Duolingo had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Duolingo has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Is Duolingo Stock Soaring Today
Evaluating Duolingo's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Duolingo's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Duolingo's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Duolingo's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Duolingo's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Duolingo's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Duolingo's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Duolingo's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Duolingo's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Duolingo's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Duolingo's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Duolingo is a strong investment it is important to analyze Duolingo's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Duolingo's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Duolingo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Duolingo. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Duolingo Stock please use our How to buy in Duolingo Stock guide.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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When running Duolingo's price analysis, check to measure Duolingo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Duolingo is operating at the current time. Most of Duolingo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Duolingo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Duolingo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Duolingo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Duolingo's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duolingo. If investors know Duolingo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Duolingo listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.35
Revenue Per Share
12.813
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.454
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Return On Equity
0.0268
The market value of Duolingo is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Duolingo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Duolingo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Duolingo's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Duolingo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Duolingo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Duolingo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Duolingo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Duolingo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.