Guaranty Bancshares Stock Performance

GNTY Stock  USD 28.78  0.09  0.31%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.5, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Guaranty Bancshares will likely underperform. Guaranty Bancshares has an expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to check out Guaranty Bancshares total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and market facilitation index , to decide if Guaranty Bancshares performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Guaranty Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in May 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.31)
Five Day Return
(0.07)
Year To Date Return
(14.01)
Ten Year Return
5.19
All Time Return
5.19
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0333
Payout Ratio
0.3647
Last Split Factor
11:10
Forward Dividend Rate
0.96
Dividend Date
2024-04-10
1
5 Reasons to Add First Horizon to Your Stock Portfolio
02/12/2024
2
Guaranty Bancshares Full Year 2023 Earnings Beats Expectations
03/18/2024
3
Guaranty Bancshares Announces New Share Buyback Plan
03/19/2024
4
All You Need to Know About Guaranty Bancshares Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy
03/20/2024
5
NorthEast Community Bancorp Hikes Dividend by 66.7
03/25/2024
6
Are Investors Undervaluing First Guaranty Bancshares Right Now - Yahoo Finance
03/27/2024
7
TrustCo Bank Rewards Shareholders With Buyback Plan
04/01/2024
8
Earnings Preview Guaranty Bancshares Inc. Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline
04/08/2024
 
Guaranty Bancshares dividend paid on 10th of April 2024
04/10/2024
10
Earnings call Guaranty Bancshares reports stable Q1 amidst economic caution
04/15/2024
Begin Period Cash Flow106.5 M
  

Guaranty Bancshares Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,317  in Guaranty Bancshares on January 17, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (439.00) from holding Guaranty Bancshares or give up 13.23% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guaranty Bancshares is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.1185% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Guaranty, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Guaranty Bancshares is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.39 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of volatility.

Guaranty Bancshares Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guaranty Bancshares' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Guaranty Bancshares, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Guaranty Bancshares' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0975

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Negative ReturnsGNTY

Estimated Market Risk

 2.12
  actual daily
18
82% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.21
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.1
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Guaranty Bancshares is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Guaranty Bancshares by adding Guaranty Bancshares to a well-diversified portfolio.

Guaranty Bancshares Fundamentals Growth

Guaranty Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guaranty Bancshares, and Guaranty Bancshares fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guaranty Stock performance.

About Guaranty Bancshares Performance

To evaluate Guaranty Bancshares Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Guaranty Bancshares generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Guaranty Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Guaranty Bancshares market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Guaranty's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 0.00  0.00 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.1  0.11 

Things to note about Guaranty Bancshares performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guaranty Bancshares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Guaranty Bancshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guaranty Bancshares generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 10th of April 2024 Guaranty Bancshares paid $ 0.24 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Earnings call Guaranty Bancshares reports stable Q1 amidst economic caution
Evaluating Guaranty Bancshares' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guaranty Bancshares' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Guaranty Bancshares' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guaranty Bancshares' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guaranty Bancshares' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guaranty Bancshares' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guaranty Bancshares' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guaranty Bancshares' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Guaranty Bancshares' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guaranty Bancshares' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guaranty Bancshares' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Guaranty Bancshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Guaranty Bancshares' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Guaranty Bancshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Guaranty Bancshares Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Guaranty Bancshares. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For more information on how to buy Guaranty Stock please use our How to Invest in Guaranty Bancshares guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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Is Guaranty Bancshares' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guaranty Bancshares. If investors know Guaranty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guaranty Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.23)
Dividend Share
0.92
Earnings Share
2.56
Revenue Per Share
10.219
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
The market value of Guaranty Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guaranty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guaranty Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guaranty Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guaranty Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guaranty Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guaranty Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guaranty Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guaranty Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.