Intrusion Stock Performance

INTZ Stock  USD 1.60  0.10  5.88%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.15, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Intrusion will likely underperform. Intrusion has an expected return of -1.43%. Please make sure to check out Intrusion treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Intrusion performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Intrusion has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in May 2024. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:20
Last Split Date
2024-03-25
1
Intrusion Announces Customer Wins in the Philippines
02/07/2024
2
Intrusion Stock Price Down 2.5 percent - Defense World
03/12/2024
3
Intrusion Inc. plans reverse stock split to meet Nasdaq requirements
03/18/2024
4
Reviewing Hewlett Packard Enterprise and Intrusion - Defense World
03/21/2024
5
Intrusion GAAP EPS of -0.09 beats by 2.11, revenue of 1.4M misses by 0.24M
03/26/2024
6
Intrusion Inc. Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript
03/27/2024
7
Acquisition by Kimberly Pinson of 3334 shares of Intrusion at 2.91 subject to Rule 16b-3
04/02/2024
8
Acquisition by Levecchio Anthony J of 8334 shares of Intrusion at 2.91 subject to Rule 16b-3
04/04/2024
9
Intrusion Upgraded to Strong Buy What Does It Mean for the Stock
04/12/2024
10
Whats Going On With Intrusion Shares Today
04/17/2024
Begin Period Cash FlowM
  

Intrusion Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  498.00  in Intrusion on January 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (338.00) from holding Intrusion or give up 67.87% of portfolio value over 90 days. Intrusion is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 8.8067% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 77% of stocks are less volatile than Intrusion, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Intrusion is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 13.99 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Intrusion Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Intrusion's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Intrusion, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Intrusion's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1629

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Estimated Market Risk

 8.81
  actual daily
77
77% of assets are less volatile

Expected Return

 -1.43
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.16
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Intrusion is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Intrusion by adding Intrusion to a well-diversified portfolio.

Intrusion Fundamentals Growth

Intrusion Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Intrusion, and Intrusion fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Intrusion Stock performance.

About Intrusion Performance

To evaluate Intrusion Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Intrusion generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Intrusion Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Intrusion market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Intrusion's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 0.0002  0.0002 
Return On Tangible Assets(2.22)(2.11)
Return On Capital Employed 1.50  2.16 
Return On Assets(2.22)(2.11)
Return On Equity 1.45  1.53 

Things to note about Intrusion performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intrusion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Intrusion help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intrusion generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Intrusion has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Intrusion may become a speculative penny stock
Intrusion has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company currently holds 12.93 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Intrusion has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Intrusion until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Intrusion's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Intrusion sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Intrusion to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Intrusion's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 5.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.89 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.17 M.
Intrusion currently holds about 7.02 M in cash with (7.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.36.
Intrusion has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 32.0% of Intrusion shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Whats Going On With Intrusion Shares Today
Evaluating Intrusion's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Intrusion's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Intrusion's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Intrusion's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Intrusion's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Intrusion's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Intrusion's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Intrusion's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Intrusion's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Intrusion's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Intrusion's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Intrusion offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Intrusion's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Intrusion Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Intrusion Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Intrusion. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.
For more information on how to buy Intrusion Stock please use our How to Invest in Intrusion guide.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for Intrusion Stock analysis

When running Intrusion's price analysis, check to measure Intrusion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intrusion is operating at the current time. Most of Intrusion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intrusion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intrusion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intrusion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Intrusion's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intrusion. If investors know Intrusion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intrusion listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.25
Earnings Share
(11.46)
Revenue Per Share
4.63
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Return On Assets
(0.97)
The market value of Intrusion is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intrusion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intrusion's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intrusion's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intrusion's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intrusion's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intrusion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intrusion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intrusion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.