John Hancock Disciplined Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

JDIVX Fund  USD 15.26  0.01  0.07%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.83, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, John Hancock's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding John Hancock is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

13 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in John Hancock Disciplined are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, John Hancock may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024.
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Expense Ratio0.7600
  

John Hancock Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,429  in John Hancock Disciplined on January 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  97.00  from holding John Hancock Disciplined or generate 6.79% return on investment over 90 days. John Hancock Disciplined is currently producing 0.108% returns and takes up 0.6474% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 5% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than John, and 98% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon John Hancock is expected to generate 1.02 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.02 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

John Hancock Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
15.26
Please note that John Hancock's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. John Hancock Disciplined retains a regular Real Value of $15.46 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $15.26. We determine the value of John Hancock Disciplined from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Our valuation method for John Hancock Disciplined is useful when determining the fair value of the John mutual fund, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of John Hancock. Since John Hancock is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of John Mutual Fund. However, John Hancock's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  15.26 Real  15.46 Hype  15.26 Naive  15.19
The real value of John Mutual Fund, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of John Hancock Disciplined Mutual Fund, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on John Hancock's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of John Hancock's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence John Hancock's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.46
Real Value
16.11
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of John Hancock Disciplined helps investors to forecast how John mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of John Hancock more accurately as focusing exclusively on John Hancock's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.1115.2215.33
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6115.2615.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
14.5415.1915.83
Details

John Hancock Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for John Hancock's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as John Hancock Disciplined, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a John Hancock's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1669

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.65
  actual daily
5
95% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.11
  actual daily
2
98% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.17
  actual daily
13
87% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average John Hancock is performing at about 13% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of John Hancock by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

John Hancock Fundamentals Growth

John Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of John Hancock, and John Hancock fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on John Mutual Fund performance.

About John Hancock Performance

To evaluate John Hancock Disciplined Mutual Fund as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when John Hancock generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare John Mutual Fund's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand John Hancock Disciplined market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents John's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in a portfolio of equity and equity-related securities issued by non-U.S. companies of any capitalization size. It may invest in all types of equity and equity-related securities, including, without limitation, exchange-traded and over-the-counter common and preferred stocks, warrants, options, rights, convertible securities, sponsored and unsponsored depositary receipts and shares, trust certificates, participatory notes, limited partnership interests, shares of other investment companies, real estate investment trusts , and equity participations.

Things to note about John Hancock Disciplined performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about John Hancock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for John Hancock Disciplined help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 95.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating John Hancock's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate John Hancock's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing John Hancock's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether John Hancock's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining John Hancock's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating John Hancock's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of John Hancock's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of John Hancock's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into John Hancock's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating John Hancock's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact John Hancock's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in John Hancock Disciplined. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Please note, there is a significant difference between John Hancock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if John Hancock is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, John Hancock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.