Castle Mutual Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

MOATX
 Fund
  

USD 19.98  0.23  1.16%   

The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.6106, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what Castle's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, Castle Focus returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Castle Focus will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Castle Focus historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy towards foreseeing any fund's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Castle Focus exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance.
  
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Castle Performance
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Over the last 90 days Castle Focus has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of latest conflicting performance, the Fund's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the fund investors.
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Castle Price Channel

Fifty Two Week Low19.55
Fifty Two Week High23.53
Annual Report Expense Ratio1.39%

Castle Focus Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,192  in Castle Focus on April 5, 2022 and sell it today you would lose (194.00)  from holding Castle Focus or give up 8.85% of portfolio value over 90 days. Castle Focus is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.9734% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 8% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Castle, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
 Daily Expected Return (%) 
      Risk (%) 
Assuming the 90 days horizon Castle Focus is expected to generate 0.67 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.49 times less risky than the market. It trades about -0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly -0.11 per unit of risk.

Castle Focus Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today 19.98
Please note that Castle Focus' price fluctuation is very steady at this time.
Castle Focus shows a prevailing Real Value of $20.2 per share. The current price of the fund is $19.98. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. We determine the value of Castle Focus from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we favor acquiring undervalued instruments and dropping overvalued instruments since, at some point, stock prices and their ongoing real values will blend.
Our valuation method for Castle Focus is useful when determining the fair value of the Castle mutual fund, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Castle Focus. Since Castle Focus is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Castle Mutual Fund. However, Castle Focus' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
20.20
Real Value
21.17
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Castle Focus helps investors to forecast how Castle mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Castle Focus more accurately as focusing exclusively on Castle Focus' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.4920.6221.76
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
19.0119.9820.95
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowIncome Per ShareHigh
0.080.080.08
Details

Castle Focus Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Castle Focus' investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Castle Focus, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Castle Focus' price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1486

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Estimated Market Risk
 0.97
  actual daily
 
 8 %
of total potential
 
88
Expected Return
 -0.14
  actual daily
 
 0 %
of total potential
 
00
Risk-Adjusted Return
 -0.15
  actual daily
 
 0 %
of total potential
 
00
Based on monthly moving average Castle Focus is performing at about 0% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Castle Focus by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

About Castle Focus Performance

To evaluate Castle Focus Mutual Fund as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Castle Focus generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Castle Mutual Fund's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Castle Focus stock market performance in a much more refined way. At Macroaxis, we take it even further. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Castle's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund invests primarily in common stocks of domestic companies and American Depositary Receipts of foreign companies of any size without regard to market capitalization that the sub-adviser believes possess a strong competitive position in their peer group and have undervalued assets or growth potential that is not yet reflected in stock price. Castle Focus is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Castle Focus

Checking the ongoing alerts about Castle Focus for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Castle Focus help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Castle Focus Alerts

Equity Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Castle Focus generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Castle Focus is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
The fund maintains about 17.16% of its assets in cash
Additionally, see Stocks Correlation. Note that the Castle Focus information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Castle Focus' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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When running Castle Focus price analysis, check to measure Castle Focus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Castle Focus is operating at the current time. Most of Castle Focus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Castle Focus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Castle Focus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Castle Focus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Castle Focus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Castle Focus value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Castle Focus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.