National Cinemedia Stock Performance
| NCMI Stock | USD 4.50 0.07 1.58% |
National CineMedia has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.69, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, National CineMedia will likely underperform. National CineMedia right now secures a risk of 4.0%. Please verify National CineMedia expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if National CineMedia will be following its current price movements.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
2 of 100
Weak | Strong |
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National CineMedia are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly conflicting primary indicators, National CineMedia may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.45) | Five Day Return (12.62) | Year To Date Return 11.87 | Ten Year Return (97.16) | All Time Return (98.27) |
Last Split Factor 1:10 | Dividend Date 2022-09-06 | Ex Dividend Date 2022-08-19 | Last Split Date 2023-08-04 |
1 | Disposition of 3422 shares by Ronnie Ng of National CineMedia at 4.1235 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/23/2024 |
2 | Disposition of 2233 shares by Ronnie Ng of National CineMedia subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/26/2024 |
3 | Disposition of 253 shares by Scott Felenstein of National CineMedia subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/27/2024 |
4 | Purchase by Standard General Lp of 56050 shares of National CineMedia | 02/29/2024 |
5 | National CineMedia authorizes share buyback of up to 100 million | 03/18/2024 |
6 | NCMI Stock Earnings National CineMedia Beats EPS, Beats Revenue for Q4 2023 | 03/19/2024 |
7 | National CineMedia Trading Down 4.6 percent - MarketBeat | 03/25/2024 |
8 | Acquisition by Aulestia Bernadette S. of 8502 shares of National CineMedia at 4.705 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/26/2024 |
9 | National CineMedia Trading Up 4.3 percent - MarketBeat | 04/01/2024 |
10 | 3 Advertising Marketing Stocks to Watch Amid Industry Woes | 04/08/2024 |
11 | National CineMedia Rating Increased to Hold at StockNews.com - Defense World | 04/16/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 63.8 M |
National |
National CineMedia Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 422.00 in National CineMedia on January 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of 21.00 from holding National CineMedia or generate 4.98% return on investment over 90 days. National CineMedia is currently generating 0.1528% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.0031% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 35% of stocks are less volatile than National, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
National CineMedia Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for National CineMedia's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as National CineMedia, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a National CineMedia's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.0382
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
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Estimated Market Risk
| 4.0 actual daily | 35 65% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| 0.15 actual daily | 2 98% of assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| 0.04 actual daily | 2 98% of assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average National CineMedia is performing at about 2% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of National CineMedia by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
National CineMedia Fundamentals Growth
National Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of National CineMedia, and National CineMedia fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on National Stock performance.
| Return On Asset | -0.0251 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 4.27 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.22 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 427.71 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 97.02 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 13.96 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.05 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.78 X | ||||
| Revenue | 165.2 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 37.7 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (1.8 M) | ||||
| Net Income | 705.2 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 73.4 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.90 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 16 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | (3.06) % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.51 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 4.49 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (7.9 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 14.34 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 446.31 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 567.7 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 316.6 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 85.4 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 203.6 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 124.7 M | ||||
About National CineMedia Performance
To evaluate National CineMedia Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when National CineMedia generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare National Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand National CineMedia market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents National's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | (38.27) | (40.19) | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.49) | (0.46) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.07) | (0.07) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.14) | (0.14) | |
| Return On Equity | 0.47 | 0.49 |
Things to note about National CineMedia performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about National CineMedia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for National CineMedia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| National CineMedia had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company currently holds 16 M in liabilities. National CineMedia has a current ratio of 0.5, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist National CineMedia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, National CineMedia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like National CineMedia sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about National CineMedia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| National CineMedia currently holds about 73.4 M in cash with (7.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.9. | |
| National CineMedia has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: National CineMedia Rating Increased to Hold at StockNews.com - Defense World |
- Analyzing National CineMedia's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether National CineMedia's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining National CineMedia's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating National CineMedia's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of National CineMedia's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of National CineMedia's stock. These opinions can provide insight into National CineMedia's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National CineMedia. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. For more detail on how to invest in National Stock please use our How to Invest in National CineMedia guide.You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
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Is National CineMedia's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National CineMedia. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National CineMedia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | Earnings Share 14.34 | Revenue Per Share 3.45 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets (0.03) |
The market value of National CineMedia is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National CineMedia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National CineMedia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National CineMedia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National CineMedia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National CineMedia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National CineMedia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National CineMedia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.