Natera Inc Stock Performance
| NTRA Stock | USD 87.28 3.05 3.38% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Natera holds a performance score of 14. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.25, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Natera will likely underperform. Please check Natera's expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Natera's current price movements will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
14 of 100
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Natera Inc are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat uncertain basic indicators, Natera sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (3.38) | Five Day Return (9.72) | Year To Date Return 40.96 | Ten Year Return 384.89 | All Time Return 384.89 |
1 | Sale by Jonathan Sheena of 3000 shares of Natera | 02/08/2024 |
2 | Natera to Participate in March Investor Conferences | 02/29/2024 |
3 | Disposition of 5492 shares by Matthew Rabinowitz of Natera at 89.4035 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/05/2024 |
4 | Disposition of 1816 shares by Jonathan Sheena of Natera at 89.1282 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/06/2024 |
5 | Brokerages Set Natera, Inc. Target Price at 75.50 | 03/11/2024 |
6 | Disposition of 2662 shares by Steven Chapman of Natera at 90.4158 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/13/2024 |
7 | Disposition of 18750 shares by Steven Chapman of Natera at 25.46 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/15/2024 |
8 | Disposition of 34029 shares by Michael Brophy of Natera at 70.0323 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/22/2024 |
9 | Disposition of 914 shares by Michael Brophy of Natera at 90.4158 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/28/2024 |
10 | Natera and Alliance for Clinical Trials in Oncology Announce Activation of Alliance A032103 A Randomized, Phase IIIII Adjuvant Trial in Urothelial Cancer | 04/01/2024 |
11 | Pioneering cancer test company wants court to slow potential sale of Invitaes cancer-monitoring products | 04/02/2024 |
12 | Disposition of 8699 shares by Jonathan Sheena of Natera at 91.5282 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 04/04/2024 |
13 | Natera co-founder Sheena Jonathan sells over 2.4m in company stock | 04/05/2024 |
14 | Natera Announces New Data From Two Studies Extending the Clinical Validation of Its Prospera Heart dd-cfDNA Test for Heart Transplant Recipients | 04/08/2024 |
15 | Estimating The Fair Value Of Natera, Inc. | 04/12/2024 |
16 | Disposition of 100 shares by Steven Chapman of Natera at 94.44 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 04/15/2024 |
17 | Insider Sell CEO and President Steven Chapman Sells Shares of Natera Inc | 04/18/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 466.1 M |
Natera |
Natera Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 6,668 in Natera Inc on January 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of 2,060 from holding Natera Inc or generate 30.89% return on investment over 90 days. Natera Inc is currently generating 0.4573% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.4724% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Natera, and 91% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Natera Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Natera's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Natera Inc, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Natera's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.185
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
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Estimated Market Risk
| 2.47 actual daily | 21 79% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| 0.46 actual daily | 9 91% of assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| 0.19 actual daily | 14 86% of assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Natera is performing at about 14% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Natera by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
Natera Fundamentals Growth
Natera Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Natera, and Natera fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Natera Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.59 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.2 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.40) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.27) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 10.47 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 120.76 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | (4.74) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 14.90 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 10.54 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.08 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 363.97 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (404.95 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (434.8 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 638.65 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 6.59 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 441.99 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.90 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.58 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 6.40 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (246.96 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (3.78) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 10.54 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.46 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (2.38 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 951.27 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 250.73 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 80.47 M | ||||
About Natera Performance
To evaluate Natera Inc Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Natera generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Natera Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Natera Inc market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Natera's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 25.22 | 40.11 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.30) | (0.31) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.39) | (0.41) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.30) | (0.31) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.57) | (0.54) |
Things to note about Natera Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Natera for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Natera Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (434.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 363.97 M. | |
| Natera Inc currently holds about 638.65 M in cash with (246.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.59. | |
| Natera Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Sell CEO and President Steven Chapman Sells Shares of Natera Inc |
- Analyzing Natera's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Natera's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Natera's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Natera's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Natera's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Natera's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Natera's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Natera Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Complementary Tools for Natera Stock analysis
When running Natera's price analysis, check to measure Natera's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natera is operating at the current time. Most of Natera's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natera's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natera's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natera to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Natera's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natera. If investors know Natera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natera listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.78) | Revenue Per Share 9.414 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.432 | Return On Assets (0.20) | Return On Equity (0.59) |
The market value of Natera Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natera's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natera's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natera's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natera's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natera's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natera is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natera's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.