Aareal OTC Stock Future Price Prediction

AAALY
 Stock
  

USD 35.30  0.00  0.00%   

Aareal Bank Ag stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Aareal Bank shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Aareal Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Aareal Bank and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Aareal Bank's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Aareal Bank Ag, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Aareal Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Aareal Bank based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Aareal stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Aareal Bank over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.062
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.038
Using Aareal Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aareal Bank Ag from the perspective of Aareal Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Aareal Bank. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aareal Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aareal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Aareal Bank after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 35.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aareal Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Aareal Bank in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
31.7738.5439.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
34.1635.4336.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.3035.3035.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Aareal Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Aareal Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Aareal Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Aareal Bank Ag.

Aareal Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Aareal Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aareal Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Aareal Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Aareal Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Aareal Bank's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aareal Bank's historical news coverage. Aareal Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.78 and 36.32, respectively. We have considered Aareal Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 35.30
35.05
After-hype Price
36.32
Upside
Aareal Bank is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aareal Bank Ag is based on 3 months time horizon.

Aareal Bank OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Aareal Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aareal Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aareal Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.15  1.27   0.25   0.00  4 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.3035.050.71 
75.60  

Aareal Bank Hype Timeline

Aareal Bank Ag is presently traded for 35.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Aareal is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 35.05. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is about 75.6%. The price reduction on the next newsis expected to be -0.71% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Aareal Bank is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 35.3. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.71. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aareal Bank Ag recorded a loss per share of 0.93. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 19th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 4 days.
Please continue to Aareal Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Aareal Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aareal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aareal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aareal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Aareal Bank Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Aareal Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aareal Bank Ag, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aareal Bank based on analysis of Aareal Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aareal Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aareal Bank's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Aareal Bank

The number of cover stories for Aareal Bank depends on current market conditions and Aareal Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aareal Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aareal Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Aareal Bank Short Properties

Aareal Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aareal Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aareal Bank Ag often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aareal Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aareal Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.40
Float Shares45.63M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month39
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.13%
Please continue to Aareal Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Aareal Bank Ag information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Aareal Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Aareal OTC Stock analysis

When running Aareal Bank Ag price analysis, check to measure Aareal Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aareal Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Aareal Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aareal Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aareal Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aareal Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aareal Bank's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aareal Bank. If investors know Aareal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aareal Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.062
Market Capitalization
2.1 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.038
Return On Assets
0.0014
Return On Equity
0.0214
The market value of Aareal Bank Ag is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aareal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aareal Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aareal Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aareal Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aareal Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aareal Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Aareal Bank value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aareal Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.