Accel Entertainment Stock Price Prediction

ACEL Stock  USD 10.22  0.09  0.87%   
As of now, the relative strength indicator of Accel Entertainment's share price is approaching 46. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Accel Entertainment, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Accel Entertainment's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Accel Entertainment and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Accel Entertainment's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Accel Entertainment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Accel Entertainment's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.21
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.84
Wall Street Target Price
14.33
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.029
Using Accel Entertainment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Accel Entertainment from the perspective of Accel Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Accel Entertainment using Accel Entertainment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Accel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Accel Entertainment's stock price.

Accel Entertainment Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Accel Entertainment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Accel Entertainment stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Accel Entertainment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Accel Entertainment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Accel Entertainment's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Accel Entertainment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Accel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Accel Entertainment after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Accel Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Accel Stock please use our How to buy in Accel Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Accel Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.9712.3614.75
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
13.0414.3315.91
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.140.190.22
Details

Accel Entertainment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Accel Entertainment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Accel Entertainment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Accel Entertainment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Accel Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Accel Entertainment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Accel Entertainment's historical news coverage. Accel Entertainment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.82 and 12.60, respectively. We have considered Accel Entertainment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.22
10.21
After-hype Price
12.60
Upside
Accel Entertainment is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Accel Entertainment is based on 3 months time horizon.

Accel Entertainment Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Accel Entertainment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Accel Entertainment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Accel Entertainment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
2.39
  0.01 
  0.02 
11 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.22
10.21
0.10 
4,780  
Notes

Accel Entertainment Hype Timeline

Accel Entertainment is presently traded for 10.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Accel is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Accel Entertainment is about 2133.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.20. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Accel Entertainment was presently reported as 2.41. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.48. Accel Entertainment had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Accel Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Accel Stock please use our How to buy in Accel Stock guide.

Accel Entertainment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Accel Entertainment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Accel Entertainment's future price movements. Getting to know how Accel Entertainment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Accel Entertainment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LNWLight Wonder(1.26)9 per month 1.49  0.06  3.65 (2.04) 9.24 
EVRIEveri Holdings(0.01)9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 4.36 (4.48) 15.76 
INSEInspired Entertainment 0.27 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.27 (3.98) 15.23 
IGTInternational Game Technology 0.02 11 per month 1.72 (0.03) 2.14 (3.27) 7.66 
NGMSNeogames SA 0.00 0 per month 1.18  0.11  2.12 (2.60) 113.40 
AGSPlayAGS 0.1 12 per month 0.95  0.09  3.61 (2.75) 27.67 
CDROCodere Online Corp 0.16 6 per month 1.93  0.08  5.30 (3.62) 13.50 
GAMBGambling Group(0.06)9 per month 2.21 (0.02) 3.13 (3.74) 10.82 
CPHCCanterbury Park Holding 0.37 7 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.33 (4.53) 14.72 
CHDNChurchill Downs Incorporated(0.71)11 per month 0.98  0.07  2.42 (2.00) 7.41 

Accel Entertainment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Accel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Accel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Accel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Accel Entertainment Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Accel Entertainment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Accel Entertainment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Accel Entertainment based on analysis of Accel Entertainment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Accel Entertainment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Accel Entertainment's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding2.544.414.22.94
PTB Ratio7.713.914.453.87

Story Coverage note for Accel Entertainment

The number of cover stories for Accel Entertainment depends on current market conditions and Accel Entertainment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Accel Entertainment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Accel Entertainment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Accel Entertainment Short Properties

Accel Entertainment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Accel Entertainment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Accel Entertainment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Accel Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Accel Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding86.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments261.6 M

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Accel Stock

When determining whether Accel Entertainment is a strong investment it is important to analyze Accel Entertainment's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Accel Entertainment's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Accel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Accel Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Accel Stock please use our How to buy in Accel Stock guide.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Accel Entertainment. If investors know Accel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Accel Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.17)
Earnings Share
0.51
Revenue Per Share
13.822
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.029
Return On Assets
0.0753
The market value of Accel Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Accel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Accel Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Accel Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Accel Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Accel Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Accel Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Accel Entertainment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Accel Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.