AeroCentury Stock Future Price Prediction

ACY -  USA Stock  

USD 12.56  0.05  0.40%

AeroCentury Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of AeroCentury Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of AeroCentury Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AeroCentury Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AeroCentury Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AeroCentury Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to AeroCentury Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Search Price Prediction 

It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of AeroCentury Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The AeroCentury stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AeroCentury Corp over a specific investment horizon. Using AeroCentury Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AeroCentury Corp from the perspective of AeroCentury Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
AeroCentury Corp Asset Turnover is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. AeroCentury Corp reported Asset Turnover of 0.14 in 2020. Current Ratio is likely to rise to 1.15 in 2021, whereas Book Value per Share is likely to drop (11.70)  in 2021.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in AeroCentury Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AeroCentury Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AeroCentury because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

AeroCentury Corp after-hype prediction price

  $ 12.51  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of AeroCentury Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of AeroCentury Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
1 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AeroCentury Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AeroCentury Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AeroCentury Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in AeroCentury Corp.

AeroCentury Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of AeroCentury Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AeroCentury Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of AeroCentury Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

AeroCentury Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting AeroCentury Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AeroCentury Corp's historical news coverage. AeroCentury Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.05 and 17.97, respectively. We have considered AeroCentury Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1st of August 2021
After-hype Price
AeroCentury Corp is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AeroCentury Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

AeroCentury Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as AeroCentury Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AeroCentury Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AeroCentury Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.51  5.46  0.05   0.72  9 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

AeroCentury Corp Hype Timeline

On the 1st of August AeroCentury Corp is traded for 12.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.72. AeroCentury is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 12.51. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.4% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.51%. The volatility of related hype on AeroCentury Corp is about 385.67% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 13.28. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 24.25. AeroCentury Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Please continue to AeroCentury Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

AeroCentury Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to AeroCentury Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AeroCentury Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how AeroCentury Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AeroCentury Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

AeroCentury Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AeroCentury price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AeroCentury using various technical indicators. When you analyze AeroCentury charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About AeroCentury Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of AeroCentury Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AeroCentury Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AeroCentury Corp based on analysis of AeroCentury Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AeroCentury Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AeroCentury Corp's related companies.

Story Coverage note for AeroCentury Corp

The number of cover stories for AeroCentury Corp depends on current market conditions and AeroCentury Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AeroCentury Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AeroCentury Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

AeroCentury Corp Short Properties

AeroCentury Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when AeroCentury Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AeroCentury Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AeroCentury Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AeroCentury Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out6.84%
Short Percent Of Float8.84%
Float Shares1.2M
Shares Short Prior Month152.23k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day109.08k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month333.47k
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021
Please continue to AeroCentury Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the AeroCentury Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AeroCentury Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

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The market value of AeroCentury Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AeroCentury that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AeroCentury Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AeroCentury Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AeroCentury Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AeroCentury Corp underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AeroCentury Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine AeroCentury Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AeroCentury Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.