Adams Resources Energy Stock Price Prediction
| AE Stock | USD 28.60 0.25 0.88% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
62
Oversold | Overbought |
Adams Resources Energy stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Adams Resources shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Adams Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Adams Resources and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Adams Resources' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Adams Resources Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Adams Resources' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.763 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.13) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.41) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.32) | Wall Street Target Price 43.5 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Adams Resources based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Adams stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Adams Resources over a specific investment horizon. Using Adams Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Adams Resources Energy from the perspective of Adams Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Adams Resources. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Adams Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Adams because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Adams Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 28.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Adams |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Adams Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Adams Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Adams Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Adams Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Adams Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Adams Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Adams Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Adams Resources' historical news coverage. Adams Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.58 and 31.44, respectively. We have considered Adams Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Adams Resources is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Adams Resources Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Adams Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Adams Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Adams Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Adams Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 2.93 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 10 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
28.60 | 28.51 | 0.31 |
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Adams Resources Hype Timeline
As of April 17, 2024 Adams Resources Energy is listed for 28.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. Adams is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 28.51. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.31%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Adams Resources is about 518.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.41. About 58.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Adams Resources Energy has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 174.35. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2024. The firm had 1:2 split on the 10th of February 1992. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Adams Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Adams Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Adams Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Adams Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Adams Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Adams Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.93 | (2.42) | 15.58 | |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | (1.10) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.77 | (2.94) | 7.01 |
Adams Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Adams price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Adams using various technical indicators. When you analyze Adams charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Adams Resources Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Adams Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Adams Resources Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Adams Resources based on analysis of Adams Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Adams Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Adams Resources's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0348 | 0.0239 | 0.0379 | 0.0398 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.0588 | 0.0469 | 0.0242 | 0.023 |
Story Coverage note for Adams Resources
The number of cover stories for Adams Resources depends on current market conditions and Adams Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Adams Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Adams Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Adams Resources Short Properties
Adams Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Adams Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Adams Resources Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Adams Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adams Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 45.2 M |
Check out Adams Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Adams Resources Energy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Adams Resources' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Adams Stock analysis
When running Adams Resources' price analysis, check to measure Adams Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adams Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Adams Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adams Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adams Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adams Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Adams Resources' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adams Resources. If investors know Adams will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Adams Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.763 | Dividend Share 0.96 | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share 1.1 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Adams Resources Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Adams that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Adams Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Adams Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Adams Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Adams Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Adams Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adams Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adams Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.